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2 Singaporeans arrested in Thailand over human trafficking and money laundering charges

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Photo: Khaosod English

BANGKOK/SINGAPORE: A Singaporean man identified as Dexter was arrested at Bangkok’s Suvarnabhumi Airport on Jun 18 for his suspected involvement in a transnational human trafficking and money laundering syndicate, but Dexter was not acting alone.

In a joint statement released on Jun 19, the Singapore Police Force (SPF) confirmed that he was one of two Singaporean men, aged 36 and 38, arrested in Thailand alongside a 50-year-old Thai national in a coordinated cross-border operation with the Royal Thai Police (RTP). The arrests took place a day earlier, on Jun 17.

The bust led to the seizure of assets worth over 20 million baht (S$790,600), including cash, luxury condominiums, laptops, mobile phones, hard drives, and multiple bank and SIM cards.

Years in the making

According to the SPF, investigations began in 2023 into the syndicate, which allegedly recruited foreign women and trafficked them into Singapore for vice work. Between April 2023 and May 2025, at least 76 women were arrested for prostitution-related offences, many believed to have been managed by the same criminal network.

Coordinated investigations between the SPF and RTP yielded key insights that ultimately led to the identification of the trio. The 38-year-old Singaporean was allegedly responsible for laundering the profits of the vice operations by channelling them through a complex network of bank accounts across borders. The 36-year-old Singaporean is said to have played a supporting role in facilitating the movement and management of the sex workers.

Arrest at the airport

Thai immigration authorities were tipped off that a wanted foreign national tied to prostitution and money laundering would be arriving in Bangkok on Singapore Airlines flight SQ714 from Changi Airport.

Upon landing, Dexter was swiftly intercepted by officers from Thailand’s Central Investigation Bureau (CIB) and immigration police. At least eight personnel surrounded him and escorted him away for questioning. He was later transferred to the Technology Crime Suppression Division for formal proceedings.

He now faces multiple charges under Thai law, including:

  • Conspiracy to procure, entice, or traffic persons for immoral purposes

  • Promoting and facilitating prostitution for gain

  • Advertising or soliciting prostitution via public media

  • Conspiracy to commit money laundering

Transnational collaboration

Singapore’s Senior Assistant Commissioner (SAC) of Police Yeo Yee Chuan, deputy director of the SPF’s Criminal Investigation Department, praised the collaboration between both forces.

“The SPF is committed to working closely with our regional partners, and we thank the RTP for their invaluable collaboration in dismantling this criminal network,” said SAC Yeo. “Together, we can prevent the exploitation of women, stem the scourge of transnational crimes, and take affirmative action against the laundering of criminal proceeds.”

RTP’s Police Lieutenant-General Jirabhop Bhuridej echoed the sentiment, noting that the success of the operation was due to the professionalism and dedication of both Singaporean and Thai officers.

Frozen assets

As part of the ongoing investigation, the SPF has frozen over S$1.26 million in suspected criminal proceeds from the Singapore bank accounts linked to the 38-year-old suspect.

The suspects remain in Thai custody as legal proceedings unfold.

QS World Rankings 2026: SMU rises, NUS and NTU hold strong, SUTD slides

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Photo: SMU

SINGAPORE: In the latest Quacquarelli Symonds (QS) World University Rankings 2026, released on Thursday (Jun 19), Singapore’s autonomous universities posted mixed performances on the global stage, with some rising and others slipping in rank.

Singapore Management University (SMU) recorded one of its most notable improvements, climbing to 511th globally—a substantial leap from its previous ranking of 585th—aligning with the university’s aspiration to be a top 50 business school. The London-based QS ranking agency evaluates universities across various indicators, including employer reputation, academic standing, and graduate outcomes.

Singapore’s two academic powerhouses continued to hold their ground among the global elite. The National University of Singapore (NUS) maintained its prestigious eighth place globally, retaining its crown as the top university in Asia. Nanyang Technological University (NTU) also inched upward, ranking 12th, up from 15th last year.

In sharp contrast, the Singapore University of Technology and Design (SUTD) experienced a significant decline in the rankings, falling from 440th to 519th, a move that may prompt reflection on its strategic positioning and academic impact.

The Singapore Institute of Technology (SIT) and the Singapore University of Social Sciences (SUSS) did not feature in this year’s rankings, consistent with previous years, as these universities have historically not been evaluated by QS.

Now in its 22nd edition, the QS World University Rankings 2026 assesses the top 1,500 universities across 106 countries, serving as a global benchmark for prospective students and employers.

‘2nd isn’t a bad thing’: Singapore Airlines named world’s second best airline for 2025

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Singapore Airlines plane
Photo: Depositphotos/Wirestock

SINGAPORE: Singapore Airlines (SIA) has been ranked the world’s second-best airline for 2025 by United Kingdom-based airline consultancy Skytrax.

This year’s “Oscars of the aviation industry” was announced during a gala ceremony on June 17 at the Paris Air Show, in the Air and Space Museum’s art deco Hall of Eight Columns of Le Bourget airport.

In 2023, SIA was named the World’s Best Airline for the fifth time.

The number one spot this year went to Qatar Airways, marking its ninth win. Cathay Pacific, Emirates, and ANA (All Nippon Airways) came in third to fifth, respectively.

SIA also took the top spot for this year’s World’s Best Cabin Crew, World’s Best First Class Airline, and World’s Best Business Class Airline, while placing third in the World’s Best Economy Class Airline. Singapore’s flagship carrier also scooped the accolade for the Best Airline in Asia.

Meanwhile, its low-cost arm, Scoot, was awarded the World’s Best Long-Haul Low-Cost Airline.

Some Singaporeans online reacted by saying, “Well deserved. Qatar’s Qsuite blows SQ’s business class out of the water any day of the week.”

Despite being named the best business class airline, some commenters noted how “cramped” SIA’s seats have become, with one saying its “business class is getting worse and worse as the years go by”.

“I don’t like how claustrophobic the new A380 seat is and how it lacks privacy, so we get the worst of both worlds there. Also uncomfortable to sleep on. Hopefully, the new 2026 seat isn’t as narrow as the current A380 seat,” he added.

Another added, “Hate how you have to get out of your seat to turn it into a bed in SQ. Plus the very cramped footwell, and the usually ridiculously high prices.”

Still, one commenter pointed out, “Anyway, 2nd isn’t a bad thing in my opinion. It provides additional drive to SQ to improve, which is needed.” /TISG

Read also: Scoot to take over Jetstar Asia’s Okinawa and Labuan Bajo routes

Featured image by Depositphotos

M1 and Ericsson to implement AI-powered transport network automation in Singapore

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Business partners shaking hands
Photo: Depositphotos/AllaSerebrina (for illustration purposes only)

SINGAPORE: M1 has partnered with Ericsson to bring artificial intelligence-powered automation to Singapore’s transport network infrastructure, as part of efforts to enhance M1’s 5G network with advanced automation and analytics.

In a press release on Tuesday (June 17), it said that both companies will work on the commercial deployment of Ericsson’s Transport Automation Controller (ETAC), a cloud-native solution designed to transform how transport networks are managed and operated. ETAC will use AI and machine learning to automate and optimise operations across microwave, IP, and optical transport networks.

M1 will first integrate ETAC into its microwave transport network with plans to expand it to its IP transport network over time.

This follows a successful trial where the system identified sources of interference and improved synchronisation monitoring, service assurance, and root cause analysis. It also optimised power consumption across M1’s microwave links.

M1 CTO Denis Seek said: “By adopting intelligent automation, we are not only enhancing our network performance and reliability but also strengthening our commitment to sustainability and excellent customer experience.”

Singapore Business Review reported that the move is expected to support logistics and port operations. /TISG

Read also: SIA partners with Salesforce to enhance AI-powered customer service

Featured image by Depositphotos (for illustration purposes only)

FIFA reports 1.5 million tickets sold at the Club World Cup, yet fans ask: ‘Where are the full stadiums?’

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Photo: Freepik

FIFA recently said that it sold nearly 1.5 million tickets for the Club World Cup matches, yet many of the stadiums had empty seats during the tournament’s first week in the United States. 

Fan attendance so far 

FIFA stated that over 340,000 fans attended the first eight matches of the tournament from Saturday to Monday. 

In the kick-off match of the Club World Cup with Lionel Messi and Inter Miami playing a thrilling 0-0 draw against Egypt’s Al Ahly, the tournament gained the attention and support of 60,927 spectators who were present at Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium.

Moreover, a total of 80,619 fans also watched Champions League winners Paris Saint-Germain as they won over Spanish team Atlético de Madrid with a final scoreline of 4-0 at the Rose Bowl, near Los Angeles. This was the biggest number of spectators either team has played in front of during the 2024-2025 season. 

However, despite the big numbers on some matches, the crowd at the MetLife Stadium, where Borussia Dortmund from Germany played Fluminense from Brazil, was only watched by 34,736 fans at an 82,500-seat capacity stadium. The same case also happened at the game, wherein Chelsea FC from England played Los Angeles FC from MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, which can hold up to 71,000 people. It only had 22,137 fans in attendance. 

With this, Chelsea head coach Enzo Maresca stated: “I think the environment was a bit strange. You know, the stadium was almost empty, not full.” 

Nonetheless, FIFA expects more than 50,000 fans to attend the next couple of games in the upcoming week. FIFA president Gianni Infantino stated: “FIFA is proud of the unique and multicultural atmosphere and support this new competition has already generated — and thanks every fan who has brought their voice, passion, and presence as the FIFA Club World Cup continues to grow into the undisputed pinnacle of global club football.” 

FIFA declared that fans from over 130 countries bought Club World Cup tickets. The organisation will donate $1 per ticket to the FIFA Global Education Fund, which supports education and football for kids worldwide.

On social media, netizens expressed their thoughts and opinions on FIFA’s statement on fan attendance. One netizen remarked, “I haven’t seen a full stadium in the US, but if you say so 😂😂”

Another netizen wrote, “That’s gotta be a lot more than people watching on TV”

Upcoming matches 

Some of the upcoming matches include Real Madrid’s Club World Cup opener against Saudi club Al Hilal on Wednesday at Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium. The team will also play Mexican team CF Pachuca on Sunday at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, and also battle against Austrian club FC Salzburg on June 26 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.

Other matches on Friday are England’s Chelsea FC versus Brazil’s CR Flamengo in Philadelphia, and Germany’s FC Bayern München taking on Argentina’s CA Boca Juniors in Miami.

Noah Lyles cancels highly anticipated race against Tyreek Hill, fans argue over who would win

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Photo: Instagram.com/nojo18

The much-awaited competition between Noah Lyles and Tyreek Hill will not be happening as it was initially planned after all. Lyles, an Olympic gold medalist, has announced that he is cancelling the race, despite all arrangements being prepared and the race being all set. 

Lyles shared the reason for his cancellation, stating, “We were very deep into creating the event… In fact, it was supposed to happen this weekend. Unfortunately, there were some things, complications, and personal reasons that it just didn’t come to pass, but we were full on. We were going to shut down New York’s Times Square and everything, it was going to be a lot of fun.” 

Lyles and Hill’s rivalry 

Ever since Noah Lyles won the 100-metre gold medal at the 2024 Paris Olympics, he and Tyreek Hill, a Miami Dolphins receiver, have been engaging in trash talk. This has been fueled by Hill’s challenge to race against Lyles in a 50-metre race. 

Given that Lyles called off their competition, Hill took to social media to share his reaction to the news. He posted a meme of Lyles as if retreating to a bush and said in the caption: “.@LylesNoah after seeing me run the 100m last weekend” 

However, the post backlashed as some netizens showed their support for Lyles. One commented, “He ran a 9.78 in the Olympics.” Another user wrote, “He’s disappearing because he realises that you should be competing against high schoolers, not Olympians.”

A two-time high school track champion, Hill recently ran the 100m event in just 10.15 seconds. Though impressive, it was still behind Noah Lyles’ 9.79 seconds —his time when he secured gold at the Paris Olympics. 

In another social media post made by Bleacher Report, it said,  “Noah Lyles has canceled his proposed race with Tyreek Hill in NY’s Times Square due to ‘personal reasons’… Cheetah ran a 10.15 100m last week and trolled Lyles in response to Noah’s ‘Tyreek Could Never’ sign after his 60m run in February 👀”

Some fans sided with Hill, suggesting Lyles backed out because he knew he might lose. One user wrote, “That boy got scared,” while another called Lyles “the most unlikable gold medalist of all time.”

Others defended Lyles, pointing to his Olympic achievements and upcoming commitments. “Noah is an Olympic gold medalist, can we stop with this nonsense lol,” one commenter said. Another added, “He must have tweaked something… the U.S. Championship is coming up August 2nd.”

‘Why do people in SG still look down on certain jobs?’ man asks in viral post

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Photo: Depositphotos/ IgorVetushko (for illustration purposes only)

SINGAPORE: A Singaporean man recently went on social media to ask why some jobs are still looked down on, especially those outside the conventional white-collar path.

In a post on r/askSingapore, he shared his thoughts and asked if it’s common for people, like family members or future in-laws, to see jobs such as “Grab drivers, van drivers, or delivery riders” as less respectable. He also wondered why there’s often an assumption that people in these roles “lack ambition” or are struggling financially.

He explained that in Singapore, many people seem stuck on a fixed idea of success, which usually involves getting a degree, working a 9-to-5 job, and applying for a BTO flat. But he questioned if it’s really such a bad thing to want a “slower-paced” life, or to pick a job based on how it makes you feel instead of trying to fit into society’s expectations.

He also pointed out that this kind of judgment isn’t just limited to drivers. It extends to retail assistants, restaurant workers, and anyone in jobs that don’t come with a clear title or career progression. He ended the post by wondering if this way of thinking is just something he’s noticed in his own circle, or if it’s a more common mindset across Singapore.

“We have had an irreversible brain drain since the 1980s.”

In the discussion thread, many Singaporeans chimed in with their own experiences and views. Some agreed that there’s still a strong bias towards white-collar jobs, and shared how they or people they knew had faced judgment for working in roles seen as “less prestigious.”

One wrote, “As a cleaner, I experienced this firsthand, but what I cannot believe is the disrespect displayed to the elderly.”

Another commented, “Personally, I think society does do that to the drivers. I met a parent during a social gathering, and I made a comment about how I’m the Grab driver of the family, but somehow it came off wrong and was interpreted as ‘I’m a Grab driver’. The change on the parent’s face was so fast and sudden. I can definitely start to see some nostrils, even though I’m not short.

“I just thought to myself, heck it. Don’t need to clarify to such snobbish people. Let them think I’m a Grab driver. It’s a decent and legit job, no need to be snobbish because they got lucky in the lottery of life. So yeah, society does view drivers as such. It’s such a shame, really.”

Others felt that the stigma often comes from older generations or more traditional families who equate success with academic qualifications and corporate careers.

One shared, “In Japan, if one encounters a master craftsman for decades, everyone respects him for his expertise. Here in Singapore, if a parent encounters a craftsman with similar experience, they will point him out to the kid and say, ‘Don’t be like him…’ We have had an irreversible brain drain since the 1980s of technical experts, thanks to this dumb thinking.”

There were also users who said they actually admire people who don’t follow the usual 9-to-5 routine. For them, choosing a different path takes courage, especially in a society that often prizes conformity over individuality.

One user explained, “I admire them. It’s another level of grit and determination, considering the monetary benefits don’t often line up with the toll it takes on the person.”

“It’s unfortunate that the people surrounding you, or anyone for that matter, would be so bankrupt in their soul to have to measure people based on their kind of vocation.”

In other news, a local man who visited Lazarus Beach over the weekend said he was “dismayed” by the state of the area after large groups of migrant workers gathered there to unwind on their day off.

Posting on the r/askSingapore subreddit on Monday (June 16), the man shared that he was initially happy to see many foreign domestic workers and labourers enjoying themselves by the sea. However, his sentiments changed when he saw the condition the beach was left in.

According to his post, snack wrappers and beer cans were scattered across the sand, with some even floating in the water. He also noted that public sinks were being used as ‘makeshift showers,’ while toilet floors, which were clean earlier in the day, had become slippery and grimy.

Read more: ‘Why is this allowed to happen, and why is there no enforcement?’ — Singaporean dismayed by the state of Lazarus Beach after migrant workers’ day-off gathering

Featured image by Depositphotos (for illustration purposes only)

No WFH, overworked, and underpaid — Singapore worker says he’s stuck in a ‘broken’ company

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Photo: Freepik (for illustration purposes only)

SINGAPORE: A local worker took to social media on Wednesday (June 18) to share that he’s stuck in a “broken” company where he’s overworked, underpaid, and mentally exhausted.

Posting on the r/askSingapore forum, he wrote that even though it’s already 2025, his company still insists everyone show up at the office five days a week, with zero flexibility for remote work.

He also mentioned that the most draining part isn’t the workload itself but the fact that he spends more time “managing upwards” than doing the job he was hired to do.

He said, “I have to remind my bosses about their own meetings, teach them how to convert a PDF (no joke), copy our own client feedback into decks because they forgot, and clarify client concerns that were literally caused by said bosses. Even our clients are starting to complain about our boss to us. That says a lot.”

To make matters worse, he says he’s severely underpaid for the ridiculous amount of “labour and mental stress” he’s forced to carry every single day.

Despite these difficulties, the worker noted that his immediate team has remained a source of support and stability throughout his time at the company. “I really love my immediate team. We’re solid, supportive, and honestly, the only reason I haven’t rage-quit yet,” he said.

Still, the worker admitted that quitting is constantly on his mind due to how exhausted he feels. At the same time, he said he feels “stuck”, as he has been struggling to find a new job despite trying.

“Interviews are hard to attend when you’re stuck in the office full-time. I’ve taken a few MCs to slip out for interviews, but half of them aren’t even worth it — lowball offers, chaotic setups, or just plain red flags,” he wrote

Seemingly at a dead end, he turned to the community for support, writing, “How are people juggling full-time jobs (with no WFH) while job hunting in this climate? Looking for advice, hacks, or just solidarity.”

“Do some screening before you go for interviews.”

Plenty of responses quickly poured in, with many users encouraging the worker to be more “selective” when it comes to job applications. Some suggested doing proper research before agreeing to interviews—such as checking company reviews on sites like Glassdoor or Reddit—and only pursuing roles that offer decent pay and a healthier work culture. They pointed out that it’s not worth wasting time and energy on companies that already show red flags.

As one user put it, “Only go for interviews that show promise. Basically, quality over quantity. It will save you more energy, too.”

A few others also shared practical tips on how to attend interviews without raising suspicion at work. One common suggestion was to request Zoom interviews instead of in-person ones and to schedule them during lunch breaks or just before or after working hours. This way, he could still explore new opportunities without needing to take medical leave or make up excuses to leave the office.

One user shared their experience, writing, “Personally, I try to schedule my interviews during lunchtime or right after work if I can. I haven’t had a potential employer turn me down on such a request, especially if you mention that you’re full-time WFO now. They should understand, as most companies are mandating RTO. And even if you get turned down, hey, you dodged a bullet!”

Another added, “For some lowball offers, you should do some screening before you go for interviews. Talk to HR. Just ask if they are willing to pay more than X amount. If they are going to cut you because of that, it’s pointless to continue anyway.

You can also try to put a couple of interviews in one day, and usually, if it’s not the first round, ask to take those remotely. I tend to go in for the hiring manager round, but for subsequent rounds, I will request to do them remotely. If you are nearby, ask for lunchtime interviews.”

In other news, a 23-year-old international student currently doing her Master’s at SMU opened up online about her difficult job search experience, saying that she feels “completely lost” after months of trying to land a full-time role in Singapore.

In a post on r/SGexams, she shared that despite maintaining a perfect GPA of 4.0 and having several internships and work experiences under her belt, she has yet to receive a single offer. She also said she has applied to over 130 companies since arriving in Singapore, but has faced constant rejections or complete silence.

Read also: ‘I’ve applied to 130 jobs’ — 23 y/o international student in Singapore opens up about her job hunt struggles

SingapoFeatured image by freepik (for illustration purposes only)

‘We BTO-ed, so I stayed’: SG woman shares emotional and mental abuse from partner, regrets not leaving sooner

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Photo: Depositphotos/ Kitzcorner (for illustration purposes only)

SINGAPORE: A Singaporean woman recently shared on Reddit that she ended up staying in a toxic relationship longer than she should have, simply because she and her partner had already secured a BTO flat together.

In her post on the r/SingaporeRaw forum, she explained that she had been working full-time throughout the relationship, while her partner was still studying and had no income. As a result, she found herself shouldering most of the financial responsibilities, including paying for their dates and shared expenses.

She added that she had brought up the idea of him getting a part-time job multiple times to help with the costs, but he always brushed it off without much thought.

Her frustration deepened when he went on an “overseas trip with his classmates” — a decision that made her realise he likely had money, just not when it came to contributing to their relationship.

Despite all this, she stayed. She held on to the hope that once he graduated and started earning, their combined income would eventually support a stable life together.

However, things only continued to spiral. She said his behaviour became increasingly “toxic,” not just financially but emotionally as well. He would often raise his voice and “shout at her in public” during arguments, would belittle her because she “was only a poly graduate,” would leave her to meet his friends even when she was ill, and when faced with difficult conversations, he would walk away instead of trying to resolve them.

She added that whenever she attempted to discuss problems in their relationship, he would claim he was overwhelmed with “schoolwork” and would begin to suggest that she was part of the problem. On several occasions, he even implied that her presence in his life was contributing to his mental health struggles, going so far as to say he felt “suicidal.”

The final straw, she said, was when he looked her in the eye and asked what “she actually brought to the table.”

“Now that I am still healing from this traumatic relationship, I realised what I experienced was a perfect example of how a person can be too fixated on getting a toxic relationship fixed just because we BTO-ed,” she wrote.

Not wanting others to go through the same thing, she added, “Please, leave a toxic relationship even if it means letting go of your house that is getting ready.

Please, leave a toxic relationship even if it means starting all over again to meet someone new, love someone new, and get a house with someone new. Never let anyone doubt yourself and your capabilities. Please, love yourself before you love others.”

“This is true; don’t stay for the BTO.”

In the comments section, one user remarked that stories like this explain why so many people are now scared of falling in love or settling down. They said, “How many people stay in such relationships just to get a BTO flat? And the government wonders why nobody wants to have children or even get into a relationship. I don’t expect silver-spoon elites to be able to comprehend the concept of trauma. Most fatigued nation, most traumatised nation too.”

Meanwhile, others responded with words of support for the woman who shared her story. One commenter said, “It’s always giving yourself time and space to really call this relationship what it is. I think you must have come a long way to come to this conclusion and accept it. Sending you love and light, and I hope you heal.”

Another added, “I’m sorry you had to face this. This is true; don’t stay for the BTO. Person A, he will just be more selfish in the future.”

Things to consider before applying for a BTO flat as a couple

Before applying for a BTO flat, Thirst SG encourages couples to pause and have a few honest conversations with each other. Questions like “Are we really ready for marriage?” or “Should we commit to something as big as a flat if we’re still unsure about our future together?” are worth asking before taking that next step.

It’s not just about emotional readiness either. Couples should also think through the more practical aspects. For example, where will they stay while waiting for the flat to be built? Are they both comfortable living with either set of parents, and will that arrangement support a healthy relationship?

If staying with family isn’t an option, renting may be the only alternative. But that brings up other concerns: Can they afford the cost of rent and bills for a few years? How will they manage shared expenses? And will renting delay their plans for saving up for things like a wedding or home renovation?

In the end, it’s always better for couples to talk through these important issues early on, rather than rush into a long-term commitment they may not be fully prepared for.

Read also: ‘How do I make her stop?’ — Woman says her neighbour is ‘weird and demanding,’ but she struggles to say no to their demands

Featured image by Depositphotos (for illustration purposes only)

Fed hits pause on rates, plans two cuts by 2025 — but inflation pain isn’t over, says Powell

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(FILES) In this file photo taken on July 31, 2019 US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference after a Federal Open Market Committee meeting in Washington, DC. - US central bankers on October 29, 2019 began a two-day policy meeting amid overwhelming expectations they will deliver the year's third interest rate cut to bolster a softening economy. But markets will be watching intensely for clues about where the Federal Reserve intends to go from there, leaving central bank chief Jerome Powell the delicate task of managing investor expectations. . (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP)

WASHINGTON: The U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest rates untouched on Wednesday, holding its standard rate stable at 4.25% to 4.50%. According to the latest Reuters report, while legislators still anticipate rate cuts in 2025, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has advised vigilance, cautioning against placing extreme trust in predictions and estimates amid increasing ambiguity, particularly regarding inflation and import costs.

“No one holds these rate paths with a great deal of conviction,” Powell stated in a press discussion after the central bank’s two-day strategy meeting. “They’re all going to be data-dependent.”

Powell sent a clear-cut warning: new import duties recommended by President Donald Trump could kindle a “meaningful” upsurge in inflation in the approaching months. As manufacturers, importers, and sellers grapple over who will suck in the additional outlays, Powell made it evident that at best some of those expenditures will certainly get to consumers.

“Everyone I know is forecasting a meaningful increase in inflation from tariffs,” Powell said. “Someone has to pay—the manufacturer, the exporter, the importer, or the retailer—and ultimately, some of it will fall on the end consumer.”

He further said that without the impending cost shock from tariffs, the Fed might consider slashing rates more willingly.

Slower growth, higher prices, uncertain future

New economic forecasts issued by the Fed depict a more dormant representation than earlier viewpoints. Legislators and officials now assume U.S. economic growth will slow down to 1.4% in 2025, with unemployment growing to 4.5% and inflation concluding the year at 3%, a full percentage point more than the central bank’s 2% objective.

The Fed still predicts a half-point rate cut in 2025, but its attitude on additional decreases has lessened. A one-quarter-point cut is estimated in each of 2026 and 2027, echoing a sluggish, careful approach to monetary easing.

Not everyone, especially policymakers, agrees on the necessity of rate cuts. Of the 19 Fed officials, seven expected no cuts of any kind, highlighting internal conflicts driven by ambiguity over both trade strategy and the resilience of the labor market.

Powell recognised the diverse views, saying it’s “a very foggy time” as the Fed tries to assess how tenacious inflation might be and how strong the job market remains.

 Despite growing unemployment prognoses, the Fed noted that labor market circumstances remain compact, with May’s unemployment rate at 4.2%. Powell highlighted the Fed’s approach is to “wait and see” how tariffs influence and inflation burdens progress in the approaching months.

“We’ll make smarter and better decisions if we just wait… to get a sense of what is going to be the pass-through of inflation from the higher import taxes,” he said.

Markets unfazed?

Markets hardly reacted to the declaration. U.S. stock indexes bolted generally flat, and the 10-year Treasury yield was fixed. Futures brokers are still betting that the next rate cut will come immediately after the Fed’s September conference, with another discussion anticipated at the end of the year.

However, President Trump voiced his disappointment during the Fed’s conference, labeling Powell “stupid” and calling for an instantaneous 50-basis-point rate cut, a calculated move typically used in crises. Trump likewise jested about making himself the Fed chair.

“For the time being, we are well-positioned to wait to learn more about the likely course of the economy,” Powell said, stressing the Fed’s willingness to react fast to new statistics.

A waiting game with high stakes

With inflation hazards intensifying and economic progress decelerating, the Federal Reserve is playing with fire and navigating a minefield. While the door to rate cuts remains open, the pathway is narrow and shrouded in indecision and ambiguity. Tariff procedure, global volatility, and political strains are all blurring the economic panorama, leaving the Fed to pause, watch, and gear up for whatever comes next.