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Salary hike for Singapore workers expected to be flat in 2024

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SINGAPORE: In the face of slower economic growth, the 2024 job market for Singaporean workers appears subdued, with salary increases projected to remain at a lukewarm 4%, according to a report by global professional services firm Aon.

Aon’s 2023 Salary Increase and Turnover Study revealed a stark contrast among Southeast Asian nations, with Singapore and Malaysia anticipating stagnant salary growth in 2024. Meanwhile, Indonesia leads the region with a projected median salary increase of 6.5%, followed by the Philippines at 5.5%, Thailand at 4.9%, and Vietnam at 8.0%.

A concerning trend emerged as talent attrition rates rose, reaching 16.2% in Malaysia and 17.5% in the Philippines in 2023. Vietnam, however, boasts the lowest attrition rate at 13.8%, highlighting regional variations driven by evolving talent strategies and the persistent talent supply-demand gap.

Despite the challenges, there’s cautious optimism about hiring in Southeast Asia, with 40% of companies reporting no changes to recruitment numbers, while 40% are imposing hiring restrictions.

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Companies also exercise prudence in compensation spending, with new hire premiums averaging between 5.6% and 13.3%, a significant contrast to the hiring boom in 2022, when premiums ranged from 14.7% to 23.6%.

Looking ahead to 2024, salary variations persist across industries in Malaysia, with the retail sector leading at 5.2%, followed by technology, life sciences, medical devices, and manufacturing at 5.0%, and financial services at 4.5%.

Interestingly, over half of roles in Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines see salary increases outpacing inflation, with 71.7% in Singapore and the Philippines and 56.4% in Malaysia.

However, in Indonesia, Vietnam, and Thailand, an average of 70% of salary increases lag behind inflation, prompting 67% of Southeast Asian firms to consider inflationary pressures when reviewing salary adjustments.

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The insights presented in the Aon report are based on data collected in Q3 2023 from 950 companies across Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam, providing a comprehensive overview of the complex landscape shaping the salary and hiring trends in the region.

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