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Reflecting on the ASEAN–Australian relationship

By: John Blaxland, ANU/

The latest ASEAN Summit at Singapore follows a significant inflection point in Australia’s relationship with ASEAN associated with the mid-March 2018 ASEAN-Australia Special Summit held in Sydney. While Australia has not been seriously invited to become a member of ASEAN, it was extraordinary to hear Indonesian President Joko Widodo (Jokowi) and former Malaysian prime minister Mahathir Mohamad be more welcoming of Australia in ASEAN circles. Two decades ago, this would have been unimaginable.

Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull shakes hands with Prime Minister of Singapore Lee Hsien Loong during their media conference during the one-off summit of 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in Sydney, Australia on 18 March 2018. (Photo: Reuters/ David Gray).

The change speaks to a shift in how Australia is perceived in the region. Australia should aspire to be designated an ASEAN Community Partner, says Graeme Dobell, in recognition of the unique and special relationship that Australia has with ASEAN. This is in large part because of their shared geography and also in recognition of Australia’s growing attentiveness and focus on the neighbourhood. Dobell’s idea has generated strong reactions, with some commentators for it and others against. This concept fundamentally draws attention to the intimate and growing ties between Australia and ASEAN as well as their shared future. Such a vision would have been unthinkable a generation earlier.

Just over fifty years since the end of the White Australia policy, Australia now has about one million people with strong links with Southeast Asia — a number closely matching the million or so each with links to South Asia and Northeast Asia. Australia’s Race Discrimination Commissioner and the son of refugees from Laos Dr Tim Soutphommasane is right to point to the still fractional representation of diversity at the senior echelons of the Australian business community. But a growing body of Australians with links to Southeast Asia and Asia more broadly (now about 12 per cent of the Australian population) are well placed to have a greater say and influence in how Australia becomes more closely integrated with its own neighbourhood.

Jokowi has described Indonesia as a ‘maritime fulcrum’. But perhaps this term applies more broadly to the space shared by Southeast Asia and Australasia. As maritime trade routes through Southeast Asia and across the Pacific and Indian Oceans grow in significance, the Indo-Pacific space shared by ASEAN and Australasia is increasingly busy, lucrative and contested.

Some have complained that Southeast Asian dictators should have been reprimanded rather than feted in Sydney. Critics rightly decried the inadequate human rights records and other political shortcomings of many of the ASEAN member states. But the summit was not the time to dwell on the differences and disagreements with public pronouncements. Rather it was a time to consider what is shared, what is held in common and what can be done collaboratively in the future.

In Southeast Asia form precedes function. Respect has to be shown for it to be reciprocated. And key to the showing of respect is in handling differences with discretion so as to avoid the public loss of face. Megaphone diplomacy might make some Australians feel smug and self-righteous, but it does little to open doors for engagement and substantive reform.

Indeed, despite the avoidance of public discussion on sensitive and embarrassing issues like the Rohingya crisis, the very gathering together at such forums and the one-on-one meetings on the sidelines have provided significant opportunities for Australia. Australian officials, academics and others have used these opportunities to engage respectfully but with conviction on a range of issues for which the alternative megaphone diplomacy is counterproductive.

The ASEAN–Australia Dialogue and the ASEAN–Australia Special Summit reflect a recent trend: the growing recognition that Australia has to find a way to get along better with its neighbours for a variety of reasons. Australia’s prosperity is intimately tied to the security, stability and prosperity of its neighbourhood. Non-traditional security threats to Southeast Asia and the South Pacific are increasingly understood as being linked to the security and prosperity of Australia itself.

While ASEAN has proven to be a useful forum for humanitarian assistance and disaster relief coordination and counterterrorism initiatives, the centrality of ASEAN may be challenged by great power contestation. Some critics decry ASEAN as a ‘broken reed’ that is divided over the South China Sea and ineffective as a collective security bloc in the face of apparently unrelenting Chinese pressure. But such critics misread ASEAN’s raison d’etre and underestimate the significance of the body’s economic, political, social and cultural achievements.

Despite extraordinary economic, demographic, historical, legal, linguistic, cultural, religious and ethnographic diversity, the motto ‘unity in diversity’ still rings loudly — as much as an aspirational statement as it is a motto. The world would be less secure and prosperous if ASEAN were to disappear.

After all, ASEAN includes US treaty allies and other security partners. It includes Christians, Buddhists, Muslims, Animists and others. It uses English as its common language. It is Australia’s front yard. Australians skip over it on our way elsewhere without recognising that, when aggregated, it is Australia’s third largest trading partner and one of Australia’s leading sources of migrants and students. Australians are slowly adjusting to the fact that they are not living in some kind of metaphorical mid-Atlantic.

Despite genuine concerns over the divergence of interests over issues like democratisation and human rights, today the interests of Australia and ASEAN overlap to an unprecedented degree. Shared geography is the key driver, but other factors feature prominently as well. Trade links, for instance, are more substantial than ever, with ASEAN being Australia’s third largest trading partner. Security links have been growing significantly as well, linked with the expanding Australian Defence Cooperation Program and Australia’s engagement with a range of security issues associated the ASEAN Defence Ministers Meeting (ADMM) Plus construct. These arrangements have witnessed growing ties over humanitarian assistance and disaster relief, piracy, terrorism, people smuggling, refugee flows, and illegal, unregulated and unreported fishing, let alone concerns over great power contestation. Sure, considerable differences remain, particularly concerning democracy and human rights. But, like Australia, the ASEAN states struggle to reconcile competing geostrategic and economic priorities, valuing the burgeoning trade ties with China while still valuing the enduring US contribution to stability that has been the great facilitator of prosperity. Along the way, they are finding they have more interests and concerns in common than ever.

In the past, Australia sought security from Asia. That world has gone. Australia nowadays must increasingly find security, stability and prosperity in and through Asia. Australia’s links with Southeast Asia and ASEAN are therefore of fundamental importance for its future.

John Blaxland is Professor of International Security and Intelligence Studies at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre and Director of the Southeast Asia Institute, The Australian National University.

This article first appeared on the East Asia Forum.

Pritam Singh’s advice to ITE students receives widespread praise from netizens who compare him to Chan Chun Sing

Workers’ Party Secretary General Pritam Singh met with a number of Institute of Technical Education (ITE) students yesterday, at the opening of the second session of the 13th Parliament. Reflecting on the time he spent with the students on his Facebook page, Singh revealed the advice he gave the young generation. He shared:

“I had a good time speaking to a number of students at the opening of Parliament yesterday, including Nicole and Samantha from ITE College West. I found them no less engaged and determined than their peers from the polytechnics and junior colleges. And that to me is key in the long-run.
“The person with the better qualifications usually finds it easier to open the door to a good future. But once you are through the door, attitude and drive and determination count for a lot more than one thinks. Any employer or SME boss will tell you that.
“So it is important to work hard to get into a course you like and pursue excellence. Those who are determined and do not settle for mediocrity will inevitably do well. Luck, opportunity, a good mentor etc. all play their part as do strong moral values.
“But don’t let anyone tell you in your youth that you are a failure and cannot make it – regardless whether you are in a polytechnic, junior college or ITE. Attitude and resilience counts. And I saw it in abundance yesterday. Good luck and best wishes!”

Netizens responding to Singh’s post quickly showered him with praise and appreciated the valuable advice he imparted to the young students. Several netizens also drew comparisons between Singh’s advice to what Minister for Trade and Industry Chan Chun Sing told students in 2016.

Speaking to about 300 Polytechnic students, the PM frontrunner had urged youths to go beyond relying on good grades for jobs and told students that the times are changing fast and that employers of the future would be less interested in paper qualifications and grades.

In another forum that year, Chan emphasised that grades are not everything. He said, “Don’t become a yardstick society in which we aimlessly, blindly chase goals regardless of what we’re good at. That’s the saddest thing we can do for ourselves,” before adding that while achieving a high GPA is important, it does not ensure employment:

“…there are more things in life. When you look for employment, and you don’t know what’s going on, you can’t anticipate or analyse, no employer will take you even if you have a GPA of 4.0.
“This is something I fear for our society – where everyone goes after the same thing, the same yardstick, and we end up in what sociologists call a ‘prisoner’s dilemma’. That’s what scares me.”

https://www.facebook.com/pritam.eunos/posts/1805505022805136

Bedok renovation company disappears and leaves 10 families who had made full payment in the lurch

A renovation company has allegedly scammed over ten families, accepting full payment for renovation works and disappearing without finishing the works it had committed to completing.

The company, Reka Bina Pte Ltd, allegedly circulated the following message to its clients in which it claimed that the company is shutting down with immediate effect due to financial issues and that it is unable to continue any renovation works it had committed to.

An individual believed to be the owner of Reka Bina Pte Ltd also added that he is in the hospital for “heart issues” and that the company had no intention to “create any unpleasant experiences for all customers involved”:

Facebook user Nor Firos first posted the screenshot of the message that was forwarded to him by his aunt, Busu. Taking to social media. Nor Firos wrote: “Senang je stakat msg eh. Bussiness failure ke ape ke not our problem. That is ur company problem. Now ok la having failure right so rekabina is seizing all operation ok fair. Return all of this guys money. Then can talk”

The unnamed administrator of Facebook page All Singapore stuff further alleged:

“My family and about ten other families have engaged this company for our home renovation and money has been fully paid.
“Delays has been going on. First, a worker met and accident, then worker mia, then worker run away with company fund, then not enough workers and etc etc.
“This morning, we received a very shocking and unexpected message from the owner, saying there’s “very serious financial complication”
“We would like to know if there is anymore victims by the same company so that we can atleast fight for this case together to get back our money.”

A quick search on Google shows that Reka Bina Pte Ltd used to operate from 349 Bedok Road:

A link that leads to their official Facebook page shows that the page has either been disabled or made private:

A search on the Accounting and Corporate Regulatory Authority’s (ACRA) website on Reka Bina Pte Ltd shows that the company is still registered as a live company at this time:

According the bestrated.sg, which lists Reka Bina Pte Ltd as one of the top three renovation firms in Bedok, the company has done 1300 renovation projects so far.

It remains unclear what the affected customers are planning to do to seek compensation from Reka Bina Pte Ltd. Affected consumers with unresolved disputes against the company may approach CASE for help via their hotline at 6100 0315 or website.

Reka Bina Pte Ltd’s sudden closure that allegedly leaves several customers in the lurch comes after the Consumers Association of Singapore (CASE) announced today that it has received seven complaints since April on the closure of Milan Furnishings – a furniture shop located at Gambas Crescent that became registered last April.

CASE revealed that the delivery of furniture consumers had ordered had been delayed for several months. This after these consumers had paid in full or paid a deposit for furniture amounting to $14,000 in total. CASE added: “They recently found out that the shopfront had closed down and the business is now uncontactable.”

Rising rental prices for CBD could push office tenants to spaces in secondary areas

The rising rental prices in the Central Business District (CBD) of Singapore (which have risen 1.3 per cent Quarter on Quarter (QoQ)), is causing tenants to resist the increase instead of accepting the higher asking prices.

The 1.3 per cent rising rental prices comes after the last two quarters also showed the average gross rent for Grade A office space in the CBD rising. The rent hike over three consecutive quarters has brought rents up to $9.06 per sq ft (psf) per month. Moderate rental growth was also seen in the Grade AAA and AA office sectors, with rates in the AAA grade rising by 6.1 per cent between Q2 2017 to Q4 2017. The rise in asking rental prices has crept in as the number of office rentals in Singapore for the first quarter this year has dipped by 0.6 per cent QoQ.

Savills Singapore, a leading real estate service provider, has noted that while the decline in the number of office rentals indicates a healthy market, the increasing rental prices are slowing down the market.

According to the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI), Singapore’s GDP growth for the first quarter of 2018 hit 4.3 per cent year-on-year (YoY), higher than the 3.6 per cent growth in Q4 of last year. This was bolstered by the manufacturing sector, which grew 10.1 per cent YoY, and the services industry, led by finance & insurance and wholesale & retail trade, which registered 3.8 per cent YoY growth.

On the back of stronger than expected economic growth, the office leasing market remained healthy in Q1. Based on data from the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA), a total of 1,2641 office leases commenced in the first quarter of 2018, inching down 0.6 per cent from a quarter ago.

However, leasing activity in the CBD has slowed slightly due to the hike in asking rents. While the strengthening economy has lifted business sentiment and encouraged business expansion, manpower and operating costs remain key concerns for most companies here.

In light of increasing rental prices, cost conscious tenants are deciding either to pull down their expansion plans or relocate their middle/back offices to city fringe or regional centres so as to release space for core business. On the other side, landlords, particularly those owning premium buildings with tight vacancy, continue to be in a strong position during rental negotiations.

This has caused a stalemate in the market, which is expected to continue in the coming quarters. As one of the major completions expected in 2018, Paya Lebar Quarter (PLQ), located next to Paya Lebar MRT Station, has secured tenants for more than half of its nearly one million sq ft of office space, ahead of its scheduled opening in Q3 2018.

The SMRT Corporation has taken up three levels for about 100,000 sq ft of space in one of PLQ’s three office towers, and will move its headquarters from North Bridge Road to this new location next year. At the same time, up to 15% of available office space in PLQ will be used to house co-working facilities, which will allow smaller start-ups to network and partner with established companies on special projects.

Savills Singapore’s research senior director, Alan Cheong, pointed out that the market views that the downside risks in the office leasing market are decreasing, especially given the healthy precommitment shown by the market in two upcoming developments – Frasers Tower at Cecil Street and Paya Lebar Quarter (PLQ) – and given the quick absorption of secondary stock.

Cheong added: “However, due to tenants increasing resistance to rent hikes and the widening rental gap between the CBD and outside the CBD, demand for CBD office space may divert to sites on the city fringe and in regional centres, and even in business parks if tenants can meet the qualifications for use.”

The hike in both prices and rents is no surprise to Cheong, due to the improved sentiment amongst buyers, landlords and tenants: “For rents, the healthy pre-commitment by tenants last year helped absorb a substantial amount of space in the new builds. On top of that, the secondary space found replacement tenants in the form of co-working spaces.”

Calling co-working space operators “the major lifeline for CBD office buildings” over the past two years, Cheong noted that the amount of floor space co-working space operators have occupied is about 390,000 sq ft, through the end of 2017. He said: “Although quite a few of the operators did not take up prime Grade A office space, they nevertheless soaked up the backfill or secondary space vacated by tenants moving to new builds.”

Cheong only expects the demand for CBD office space from co-working space operators to climb and predicted that demand from such space operators could reach 600,000 sq ft from this year onwards. Half of these spaces will be housed in secondary areas, Cheong forecast. He added: “Consequently, landlords expect the momentum from 2017’s strong take-up to spill over into 2018 and thus have been bold in asking for higher rents.”

Cheong also expects Grade A space rents to rise since all parties involved with office leasing are heading in positive directions, in terms of their respective businesses. Cheong shared, “Already, there is evidence of such optimism as $15 psf has been achieved for partial floor lettings in the Marina Bay area. This may rise to $16 psf by the latter part of 2018.”

The only thing the market seems to ignore, according to Cheong, is that a sizeable portion of rental demand will come from alternative or disruptive-model businesses, over the past few years and throughout the rest of this year. Noting that these businesses have quite a way to go before registering positive cash flow, Cheong concluded: “This is a major risk factor, but for now, barring any blowout in the disruptive business economy, we maintain our view that CBD Grade A office rents are expected to rise 10% YoY by Q4.”


If you are real estate hunting for a office property (either to make it your own or for investment), our Panel of Property agents and the mortgage consultants at icompareloan.com can help you with affordability assessment and a promotional home loan. Just email our chief mortgage consultant, Paul Ho, with your name, email and phone number at [email protected].

Freehold property off Balestier Road up for en bloc sale at reserve price of $143.8m

Kemaman Point a freehold property off Balestier Road was launched for collective sale on Monday (7 May) with a reserve price of $143.8 million, said marketing agent Knight Frank Singapore. Kemaman Point is a a private residential estate comprising one residential block of 89 apartment units. With a site area of 4,071.5 sq m (approx. 43,825 sq ft), the land is regular and enjoys a wide frontage of 92 metres from Jalan Kemaman.

freehold property off Balestier Road
Image credit: Knight Frank Singapore

Under the 2014 Master Plan, the site is zoned “Residential” with a Gross Plot Ratio (GPR) of 2.8 and can yield about 122,710 sq ft of gross floor area upon redevelopment. Based on the potential GFA and assuming the average size of 70 sq m, there is a potential for 162 new residential units upon redevelopment.

In terms of accessibility, the location is well-served by major arterial roads as well as expressways such as the Pan-Island Expressway (PIE), Central Expressway (CTE) and Balestier Road which provide seamless connectivity to other parts of Singapore. The site is 12 minutes’ drive to the Central Business District and 10 minutes’ drive away from the shopping and entertainment strip of Orchard Road. The site is also located along the Central Urban Loop (Whampoa Park Connector), an islandwide network which links up parks and nature sites.

The reserve price for the freehold property off Balestier Road is S$143.8 million and that translates to a land rate of $1,180 psf ppr, inclusive of a development charge of approximately S$958,000. The tender for Kemaman Point will close on 12 June 2018, Tuesday at 3.00 pm.

“Kemaman Point is off Balestier Road, which has been rejuvenated by the influx of renowned F&B outlets and cafes. The area has quickly become a food haven that attracts foodies across generations. The new development built on site will also be able to enjoy unblocked views towards Jalan Kemaman, over the low-rise landed houses,” said Mr Ian Loh, Executive Director & Head of Investment and Capital Markets for Knight Frank Singapore.

He added: “There also isn’t much impending supply in the Balestier area through land sales and collective sales. Hence new launches in the area are likely to be sought after due to the limited supply as well as the lifestyle that the area provides.”

Kemaman Point is just around the corner from Balestier Road, and right within the neighborhood of those famed Balestier eateries. It’s just a few minutes from the CBD, and even fewer minutes from several shopping centres, restaurants, medical facilities, schools, transportation stations, and other essentials.

The site is right in a very well-networked area of the Island, ensuring hassle-free connectivity. To begin with, it’s just a short walk from Novena Station or Toa Payoh Station, which are both on the North-South Line. One stop away from Novena is Newton, which links up with the Downtown Line. Three more stops down is Dhoby Ghaut, which is an interchange on the North-South, North-East and Circle Lines.

On those days you’d prefer to drive, you can take the PIE or the CTE. You can also drive via Balestier, Thomson, Moulmein, Bukit Timah or Dunearn Roads.

Dotting the area are a plethora of eateries, from swank restarants to cute cafes to local hawker places. Whatever you crave – fast food, rice meals, baked goods, street food – you’ll have a good chance of finding it just within a few minutes from home.

Balestier Plaza is just a comfortable walk away from Kemaman Point. Also nearby are United Square, Balestier Point, Novena Square, Square 2, and Balestier Hill. If you want even more choices, you can drive to City Square Mall, Mustafa Centre, Tekka Centre, or Orchard Road in about 10 minutes.

Among the numerous educational centres are CHIJ, Balestier Hill, Hong Wen, Anglo-Chinese School, St. Joseph’s Institution Junior, Bendemeer Secondary, Global Indian International School and Catholic Junior College.

Health City Novena will be just a skip away. Also within the area are Mount Elizabeth Novena Hospital, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Ren Ci, Thomson Medical Centre, KK Women and Children’s Hospital, and Mount Alvernia Hospital.

Also within the neighbourhood isToa Payoh Town Park, Toa Payoh Stadium, SAFRA Toa Payoh, Toa Payoh Golf Range, Singapore Polo Club, or the other sports or recreational facilities.

Most importantly, as Kemaman Point is a freehold property off Balestier Road, buyers will pay a premium for it because they can be pass it down to several generations. They can also rent out such a property and get good returns on their investment.

The collective sale attempt of the freehold property off Balestier Road rides on llast year’s en bloc revival which saw 28 residential sites and three commercial or industrial sites sold for a total of S$8.73 b. There are however several other collective sale sites launched since December that have not concluded after their tenders closed.

The Land Titles (Strata) Act requires buildings such as the freehold property off Balestier Road to obtain 80 per cent consent from owners before allowing the collective sale to go through.

There are, however, several other collective sale sites launched since December last year that have not concluded after their tenders closed. The owners of these sites may enter into a private treaty contract with a buyer within 10 weeks from the close of the public tender. Pearlbank Apartments, one such site launched late last year, was sold to Capitaland for S$728 million through a private treaty.


If you are real estate hunting for a freehold property (either to make it your home or for investment), our Panel of Property agents and the mortgage consultants at icompareloan.com can help you with affordability assessment and a promotional home loan. Just email our chief mortgage consultant, Paul Ho, with your name, email and phone number at [email protected].

Another young person jumps on bonnet of car barely 2 days after similar incident at the same location

Another young person has been caught on camera jumping on a stranger’s car bonnet, just two days after a similar incident involving an elderly Grab driver. Curiously, this latest incident happened at the same location the last incident occurred – at St. James Powerstation.

In this latest incident that occurred around 2am yesterday, a group of young people who appear to be in their 20s exit a storefront. One of the girls in the group runs towards a car parked in front of them but stops short before she reaches the vehicle.

Another person in the group then runs and launches themselves onto the bonnet of the car and proceeds to lay on the bonnet. This person strikes a few poses while on the bonnet of the car as the others laugh before climbing off the vehicle shortly after.

Facebook user Stan Cheng, the owner of the car, shared the dashboard camera footage on social media:

Posted by Stan Cheng on Monday, 7 May 2018

Last Saturday, a young man was caught on camera jumping on a car that was approaching him and stomping on the vehicle’s windshield as he climbed off the car. It was later revealed that the driver of the car is a 72-year-old Grab driver.

The police have confirmed that the culprit in that case has been arrested and is waiting to be charged. A police spokesman told reporters: “On May 5 at about 3am, the police were alerted to a case of rash act at 3 Sentosa Gateway. A 26-year-old man has been arrested in relation to the case and he will be charged in court on May 7, 2018.”

https://theindependent.sg.sg/daughter-of-72-year-old-grab-driver-pleads-for-information-on-man-who-jumped-on-her-fathers-car-and-stomped-on-his-windshield-for-no-reason/

Studying chimpanzee calls for clues about the origins of human language

Nisarg Desai observes wild chimps known as Sandi, Ferdinand and Siri in Tanzania. Michael Wilson, CC BY-ND

Freud, Wilkie and the other chimpanzees peacefully fed and rested in the sun-dappled Tanzanian forest. Mzee Hilali stood next to me, writing notes on the chimpanzees’ behavior, as he had been doing for over 30 years as a field assistant for Jane Goodall’s long-term study at Gombe National Park.

Suddenly, a strange, high-pitched call sounded from where some other chimpanzees were feeding, about a hundred meters from us. Hilali turned to me, and with a little laugh, said, “Nyoka.” This was the Swahili word for “snake.”

Freud climbed down from his tree and walked quickly toward where the call had sounded, with Hilali following close behind. As I slowly made my way through the undergrowth to catch up with them, Hilali called to me: “Chatu!” “Python!”

A glint of snake scales in the vine tangle.
Michael Wilson, CC BY-ND

When I caught up with Hilali, he was pointing to a tangled mass of leaves and vines on the forest floor. I looked closely – most of the snake lay hidden from view, but the one visible stretch of black and tan scaly hide was too big to be anything but a python.

From years of experience, Mzee Hilali knew instantly that this particular chimp call meant they’d found a snake. Does this mean that chimpanzees have a “word” for snake? Do chimpanzees have a language of their own? I’ve been working with a team of students and Tanzanian field assistants to record and analyze chimpanzee vocalizations in an effort to answer questions like this. Ultimately we hope to learn more about how human language first evolved.

Clues to the origins of language

Chimpanzees are among human beings’ closest living relatives, and they share with us many unusual traits. Like humans, chimps make and use tools; join together in groups to hunt animals like monkeys; defend group territories; and sometimes gang up on and kill their enemies.

One trait that seems to set humans apart from every other species, however, is a fully developed language. Other animals communicate, but only humans appear able to talk about an unlimited variety of topics. Language enables us to make plans, negotiate with and teach one another.

How and why language evolved remains a mystery. Much of the evidence of human evolution comes from fossils, but fossil bones don’t tell us much about soft tissues or the sounds early human ancestors made. Studying the communication patterns of our living relatives can help solve the mystery.

If some features of chimpanzee communication resemble language, we can study chimpanzees further to find clues for why those features evolved. If chimpanzee communication doesn’t share much in common with human language, then the key steps in language evolution must have occurred after our lineages separated (around 7.9 million years ago) for reasons unique to our human lineage.

Michael Wilson with microphone during his dissertation research in Kibale National Park, Uganda, waiting for the chimp known as Light Brown to vocalize.
Becky Sun, CC BY-ND

Recording in the forest

To investigate chimp communication, my colleagues and I follow chimpanzees through the forest as they go about their lives. We carry a hand-held “shotgun” microphone and a digital recorder, waiting for them to call.

Usually we pick a particular chimp to follow each day, trying to get equal numbers of calls per individual. In addition to recording new calls, we’ve been working to build an archive of recordings from other researchers, going back to the 1970s. The archive currently contains over 71 hours of recordings.

Snake alarm calls are intriguing, but because chimps don’t encounter large snakes very often, it is hard to do a systematic study of them. (Cathy Crockford and colleagues have done some interesting experiments, though, playing back recordings of these calls to see how chimpanzees respond and presenting them with model snakes). One thing chimpanzees do every single day, though, is eat. Chimpanzees spend most of their time looking for food and eating it. And when they find food, they often give a particular kind of call: the rough-grunt.

A chimpanzee rough-grunt.

Biologist Lisa O’Bryan studied rough-grunt calls for her dissertation research with me. They vary from low, noisy grunts to higher-pitched calls. Some researchers have proposed an intriguing possibility: Maybe chimpanzees make distinct kinds of rough-grunt calls in response to particular foods, rather like words that name certain food items.

But Lisa has found that when eating any one kind of food, chimpanzees can produce a range of different rough-grunts. Rough-grunts thus tell other chimps that the caller is eating, but they don’t say what’s for dinner.

Just as a particular alarm call informs others that a snake has been found, the thin, wavering tones of a copulation scream announce that a mating has just taken place.

A chimpanzee copulation scream.
Author provided14.6 KB (download)

Why female chimpanzees sometimes give such a scream just as they finish mating remains unknown. Because the data collected by Mzee Hilali and other field assistants since the 1970s have been entered into a computer database, we can readily examine thousands of different mating events.

My student Tony Massaro has been analyzing these data to try to tease out what factors make females more likely to produce these calls. Such calls aren’t particularly word-like, but they do play an important role in communication. Like many wordless sounds that people make – think laughter, screams and crying – listeners hearing the sounds can infer quite a bit about the caller’s situation.

Jane Goodall demonstrates how chimpanzees pant-hoot.

When Jane Goodall gives public talks, she often begins by giving a pant-hoot: a loud call that begins with an introduction, followed by a build-up, a climax and a let-down. Pant-hoots are loud and enable chimpanzees to communicate over long distances through the forest.

Previous studies have found differences in the pant-hoots calls from different regions. For example, the pant-hoots from Gombe sound a bit different from those made by chimpanzees in Mahale, 160 km away. When I played recordings of a single Mahale pant-hoot call to chimpanzees in Kibale Forest, Uganda, the Kibale chimpanzees acted as if they had just heard an intruder. If they were in a group with three or more males, they gave a loud vocal response and rapidly moved towards the speaker.

Response to simulated intruder with many males present.

If they were in a group with only one or two males present, though, they stayed quiet, and if they approached, did so slowly and cautiously.

Response to simulated intruder with only two males present.

For chimpanzees, correctly telling friend from foe is a matter of life or death, so it would make sense for chimpanzees in neighboring groups to have distinctive pant-hoot calls.

Cathy Crockford and colleagues found that pant-hoots from different communities within Taï Forest, Côte d’Ivoire, also sound distinct. If such group-level differences result from vocal learning, they would be rather like dialects in human languages.

Nisarg going over how to use the recording equipment with Hashimu and Nasibu.
Michael Wilson, CC BY-ND

My student Nisarg Desai has been testing whether this is also the case at Gombe. We’ve been working with a team of Tanzanian field assistants, Hashimu Issa Salala and Nasibu Zuberi Madumbi, to record calls from the Mitumba and Kasekela chimpanzees, and are starting to test for differences between groups.

We are in the early stages of this analysis.

From calls to language isn’t a clear path

Chimpanzees might be capable of some degree of vocal learning, but I’m struck by how subtle the differences in pant-hoot calls are from place to place. Chimpanzees make lots of different calls – pant-hoots, pant-barks, waa-barks, pant-grunts, rough-grunts, and so on – but across Africa, all chimpanzees produce a pretty similar set of calls in similar circumstances. In this respect, chimpanzee calls resemble human sounds like laughter and crying more than they resemble human words, which can vary drastically from place to place.

Chimpanzees communicate effectively with their various sounds, but in ways quite similar to those of other nonhuman primates. This suggests that our common ancestor with chimpanzees also had a fairly typical repertoire of vocal communication for a nonhuman primate. The really big changes in human language – such as a lifelong ability to learn to make entirely new sounds and a rich symbolic meaning of such sounds – likely evolved later, for reasons that we still don’t understand.

The Conversation

Michael Wilson’s research on chimpanzee vocal communication has been funded by the National Science Foundation and a McKnight Land-Grant Professorship and a Talle Faculty Research Award from the University of Minnesota.


Source: Science-Technology

Presidents often reverse US foreign policy — how Trump handles setbacks is what matters most now

The United States will withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal, according to a May 8 announcement by President Donald Trump. The decision reverses a hardwon agreement that President Barack Obama negotiated with European allies, Russia, Iran and other nations in 2015.

This is hardly Trump’s first foreign policy turnaround.

The president plans to meet with North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un, something no sitting U.S. president has ever done. He also scrapped the Trans-Pacific Partnership, relocated the American embassy in Israel to Jerusalem and decreed tariffs on imported steel and aluminum.

All of these decisions have triggered vehement criticism.

But is Trump really such an outlier? As a scholar of American foreign policy, I know that many American presidents have reoriented international relations.

Some of those policies succeeded. Many faced opposition. Ultimately, though, my research shows that what matters more to U.S. national security is how those presidents responded when their foreign policy shifts failed.

From Truman to Bush

History has sometimes redeemed foreign policy shifts that seemed radical at first blush.

In 1947, President Harry Truman, a Democrat who stumbled into the presidency when Franklin Roosevelt died in office, asked Congress to authorize major military and economic assistance to Greece, Turkey and other countries where Communism was making inroads.

Truman in 1950.
U.S. government

Republicans in Congress, who wanted to enact steep federal budget cuts, opposed Truman’s request. Critics on the left said the U.S. should not assist non-democracies.

In the end, the “Truman Doctrine” – which held the U.S. should provide political, military and economic assistance to all nations under threat from authoritarianism – became a cornerstone of U.S. policy.

Three decades later, President Jimmy Carter paid a steep political price for agreeing to return the Panama Canal – at the time owned and operated by the U.S. – to Panama. Polls showed that a majority of respondents opposed the agreement.

The Senate approved the Panama Treaties by one vote. Several lawmakers who supported Carter subsequently lost their seats. In 1980, California governor Ronald Reagan – who criticized Carter’s return of the canal – handily defeated him for the presidency. Today, it seems logical that the Panama Canal belongs to Panama.

Another major shift in foreign policy occurred in 1989, with the fall of the Berlin Wall. President George H.W. Bush had to decide whether the U.S. should support the reunification of Communist East Germany with democratic West Germany.

European allies, vividly remembering that Germany had caused two global wars earlier that century, objected strenuously to reunification. So did Russian President Mikael Gorbachev. U.S. newspapers editorialized caution.

President Bush prevailed. A single, democratic Germany entered NATO. It is now the leader of democratic Europe.

Carter’s risk-taking

Presidents who upend foreign policy do so for different reasons.

Truman was responding to an international crisis. Carter saw himself as an outsider elected to transform America’s global role. Bush wanted to end the Cold War. Some presidential changes are designed to boost approval with core supporters.

Trump’s own policy shifts are probably driven by a variety of such factors.

Whatever his motivation, in my experience the most critical question now is: What happens if a Trump policy goes badly?

History confirms that the wrong reaction can be dangerous.

Take the Iran hostage crisis of 1979, when some 50 U.S. diplomats were detained at the U.S. Embassy in Tehran hostage.

After diplomatic negotiations failed to obtain their release, President Carter’s advisors presented him with several options, including levying sanctions, blockading Iran or attempting a rescue mission estimated to risk significant casualties.

Carter’s chose the rescue attempt, illustrating a well researched insight into human decision-making: When people experience loss, they will take substantial risks in an attempt to recover.

The Iran hostage rescue mission was aborted almost immediately after several helicopters failed to reach the refueling point. Two other aircraft collided, killing eight men and badly burning four others.

Bush’s escalation

George W. Bush’s behavior during the Iraq War demonstrates another kind of potentially dangerous behavior, called escalation of commitment.

When people find that that their initial idea is not working well, they must either double down or change course. Regardless of how bad the news, many opt to increase their commitment.

The Iraq War became extremely unpopular worldwide. Nevertheless Bush persisted.
Alison Hogg/Wikimedia, CC BY

By 2006, the U.S. faced losing the war initiated against Saddam Hussein’s regime in 2003. Fifty-seven percent of voters that year disapproved of Bush’s performance. Roughly the same percentage favored withdrawing from Iraq.

Many of Bush’s top military advisors urged him to reduce military involvement in Iraq and turn most combat over to Iraqi forces. Instead, in 2006, he changed his field commander and “surged” U.S. combat troops. The surge achieved some success, but the war continued.

What will Trump do?

I have identified two forces that help presidents avoid these dangerous decision-making behaviors.

The first is strong, independent-minded advisers. During the Cuban missile crisis, when Soviet offensive missiles were discovered in Cuba, President John F. Kennedy faced an agonizing decision. Should he do air strikes, an invasion or a blockade?

More than a dozen Kennedy advisers vigorously debated the strengths and weaknesses of each possible response. Their willingness to criticize, question and speak out may have saved the U.S. from nuclear war.

Kennedy’s advisers vigorously debated how the U.S. should respond to Soviet missiles in Cuba.
Central Intelligence Agency

Trump, on the other hand, famously demands loyalty of his advisers. Those who question his decisions risk losing their position.

Presidents can also avert crises by flexibly responding to changing facts on the ground.

For example, in 1983, President Reagan ordered U.S. Marines to return to an international peacekeeping mission in Lebanon, which had descended into civil war. Reagan thought neutral troops could restore order.

Instead, the Marines became targets. More than 200 died when their barracks were bombed on October 23, 1983. So Reagan recalculated, pulling out U.S. troops.

In Trump’s Iran decision, I perceive an unwillingness to re-evaluate policy choices when outside evidence contradicts his original cost-benefit analysis.

When Trump first threatened to scrap the multinational agreement, he assumed the other signatories would agree to re-impose sanctions on Iran, as the U.S. will.

But European countries strongly oppose that idea. They even said they would refuse to renew their sanctions. Still, Trump’s analysis did not change.

Presidential history strongly warns of danger for this White House. Inevitably, some of this president’s policies will fail. Attempts to save them could take the U.S. down a deadly path.

The Conversation

Charles Hermann has previously received research funds from numerous government and non-governmental sources, including the U.S. Naval Ordnance Test Station, National Science Foundation, US Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, Defense Intelligence Agency, Hewlett Foundation, MacArthur Foundation and the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.

Source: US-Politics

Ending sexual assault in youth detention centers

Juvenile residents sit in a classroom at detention center in Atlanta. AP Photo/David Goldman

Rampant violence and civil rights abuses in juvenile prisons are prompting calls to shut them down.

In the wake of scandals in 2017 in Texas and Florida where correctional officers were accused of sexually assaulting youth in custody, the issue has drawn public attention. First-hand accounts tell us that attacks of inmates by other inmates are also frequent occurrences, though they are notably absent from the news.

According to self-reported data collected by the government, about 10 percent of youth in juvenile detention facilities have been sexually assaulted by other youths or staff.

My recent research shows that youth in juvenile detention facilities are at risk of sexual assault for different reasons than adult inmates. Policies and practices should recognize these differences.

Data on assault

At the turn of the 21st century, a Human Rights Watch report detailed the extent of the prison rape problem. Soon after, in 2003, Congress passed the Prison Rape Elimination Act. However, 15 years have passed, and the rates of sexual victimization in youth detention facilities, jails and prisons remain high, particularly among juveniles compared to adults.

The data collection mandated by the 2003 law and spearheaded by the Bureau of Justice Statistics has helped elevate the conversation about prison rape to the national level. However, adults remain the primary focus.

Historically, scholars have mostly used prison data on sexual assault from adult men, and more recently adult women. As a result, most of what we know about sexual assault in correctional facilities is about adult male inmates.

Part of what makes it difficult to gather data on juveniles in custody is that they are considered a vulnerable research population both because of their age and because they are incarcerated. This makes them less able to defend themselves from exploitation and coercion than adults in a free society. Researchers often must obtain youth assent, parental consent and institutional approval in order to collect information.

The lack of data is problematic. As my research and that of others shows, we cannot rely on the body of work among adults to develop measures for protecting youth.

Violence against youth versus adults

I obtained approval from the Department of Justice to access the 2012 National Survey on Youth in Custody data to determine risk factors of sexual victimization among juveniles. I then compared my findings to research conducted by other scholars who collected sexual victimization risk data among adults in prisons.

For example, adults who are “green,” or new to prison, are more likely to be victimized behind bars. But my research shows that the amount of time spent in a detention facility does not affect risk of sexual assault among youth. It is possible that “being green” is normal among youth in custody. Youth may have spent a similar length of time in custody compared to others in their facility.

Gang affiliation often protects adults from sexual assault by other inmates. By contrast, gang membership in a juvenile detention facility increases a young person’s chance of being sexually assaulted by a staff member. Such violence by staff against youth could be preemptive. In adult jails and prisons, gang members are more likely to attack correctional officers. Staff in youth facilities may lack sufficient training for deescalating situations and may strike first for fear of their safety.

Adult inmates who have a slight physical stature are more likely to be victimized. Height and weight are not risk factors among youth in custody. We would expect youth who have smaller body proportions to be more susceptible to victimization. It is interesting that this is not the case because youth develop at different rates and youth of varying builds are placed in the same facility providing opportunity for victimization.

At the same time, there are some similarities in risk among juveniles and adults. Youth and adults are at higher risk of sexual abuse while detained or incarcerated, if they have previously been sexually victimized in a facility or in the community prior to lock-up. People who have been victimized in the past are more likely to be revictimized. They may become priority targets and may be more vulnerable to attack because of trauma and fear of reporting that can prevent help-seeking.

Also, members of the LGBTQ community are prone to sexual abuse in correctional facilities, regardless of age because of prejudice or discrimination.

When differences in supervision and rehabilitation needs between youths and adults were identified, the first juvenile court was created in 1899 in Cook County, Illinois. The same distinctions that led to a separate justice system for youth such as age and vulnerability can also explain differences in preventing sexual assault in correctional facilities.

The juvenile justice system is a model for all criminal justice institutions when dealing with youth. The majority of youth are processed through a different correctional system than adults. An evaluation of risk, independent from adults, could help shape our responses to sexual assault victimization among youth in custody.

The Conversation

Eileen M. Ahlin receives funding from the National Institute of Justice, Department of Justice.

Source: US-Politics

Cryptojacking spreads across the web

Is someone else making money on your computer? WICHAI WONGJONGJAIHAN/Shutterstock.com

Right now, your computer might be using its memory and processor power – and your electricity – to generate money for someone else, without you ever knowing. It’s called “cryptojacking,” and it is an offshoot of the rising popularity of cryptocurrencies like bitcoin.

Instead of minting coins or printing paper money, creating new units of cryptocurrencies, which is called “mining,” involves performing complex mathematical calculations. These intentionally difficult calculations securely record transactions among people using the cryptocurrency and provide an objective record of the “order” in which transactions are conducted.

The user who successfully completes each calculation gets a reward in the form of a tiny amount of that cryptocurrency. That helps offset the main costs of mining, which involve buying advanced computer processors and paying for electricity to run them. It is not surprising that enterprising cryptocurrency enthusiasts have found a way to increase their profits, mining currency for themselves by using other people’s processing and electrical power.

Our security research group at Michigan State University is presently focused on researching ransomware and cryptojacking – the two biggest threats to user security in 2018. Our preliminary web crawl identified 212 websites involved in cryptojacking.

Types of cryptojacking

There are two forms of cryptojacking; one is like other malware attacks and involves tricking a user into downloading a mining application to their computer. It’s far easier, however, just to lure visitors to a webpage that includes a script their web browser software runs or to embed a mining script in a common website. Another variant of this latter approach is to inject cryptomining scripts into ad networks that legitimate websites then unknowingly serve to their visitors.

Source code of a cryptojacking website, with a box around the text telling the software where to credit any cryptocurrency earnings.
Screenshot by Pranshu Bajpai, CC BY-ND

The mining script can be very small – just a few lines of text that download a small program from a web server, activate it on the user’s own browser and tell the program where to credit any mined cryptocurrency. The user’s computer and electricity do all the work, and the person who wrote the code gets all the proceeds. The computer’s owner may never even realize what’s going on.

Is all cryptocurrency mining bad?

There are legitimate purposes for this sort of embedded cryptocurrency mining – if it is disclosed to users rather than happening secretly. Salon, for example, is asking its visitors to help provide financial support for the site in one of two ways: Either allow the site to display advertising, for which Salon gets paid, or let the site conduct cryptocurrency mining while reading its articles. That’s a case when the site is making very clear to users what it’s doing, including the effect on their computers’ performance, so there is not a problem. More recently, a UNICEF charity allows people to donate their computer’s processing power to mine cryptocurrency.

However, many sites do not let users know what is happening, so they are engaging in cryptojacking. Our initial analysis indicates that many sites with cryptojacking software are engaged in other dubious practices: Some of them are classified by internet security firm FortiGuard as “malicious websites,” known to be homes for destructive and malicious software. Other cryptojacking sites were classified as “pornography” sites, many of which appeared to be hosting or indexing potentially illegal pornographic content.

The problem is so severe that Google recently announced it would ban all extensions that involved cryptocurrency mining from its Chrome browser – regardless of whether the mining was done openly or in secret.

The longer a person stays on a cryptojacked website, the more cryptocurrency their computer will mine. The most successful cryptojacking efforts are on streaming media sites, because they have lots of visitors who stay a long time. While legitimate streaming websites such as YouTube and Netflix are safe for users, some sites that host pirated videos are targeting visitors for cryptojacking.

Other sites extend a user’s apparent visit time by opening a tiny additional browser window and placing it in a hard-to-spot part of the screen, say, behind the taskbar. So even after a user closes the original window, the site stays connected and continues to mine cryptocurrency.

What harm does cryptojacking do?

The amount of electricity a computer uses depends on what it’s doing. Mining is very processor-intensive – and that activity requires more power. So a laptop’s battery will drain faster if it’s mining, like when it’s displaying a 4K video or handling a 3D rendering.

Similarly, a desktop computer will draw more power from the wall, both to power the processor and to run fans to prevent the machine from overheating. And even with proper cooling, the increased heat can take its own toll over the long term, damaging hardware and slowing down the computer.

This harms not only individuals whose computers are hijacked for cryptocurrency mining, but also universities, companies and other large organizations. A large number of cryptojacked machines across an institution can consume substantial amounts of electricity and damage large numbers of computers.

Protecting against cryptojacking

Users may be able to recognize cryptojacking on their own. Because it involves increasing processor activity, the computer’s temperature can climb – and the computer’s fan may activate or run more quickly in an attempt to cool things down.

People who are concerned their computers may have been subjected to cryptojacking should run an up-to-date antivirus program. While cryptojacking scripts are not necessarily actual computer viruses, most antivirus software packages also check for other types of malicious software. That usually includes identifying and blocking mining malware and even browser-based mining scripts.

A virus-checking program identifies cryptojacking malware.
Screenshot by Pranshu Bajpai, CC BY-ND

Installing software updates may also help users block attacks that try to download cryptojacking software or other malicious programs to their computers. In addition, browser add-ons that block mining scripts can reduce the likelihood of being cryptojacked by code embedded in websites. Further, users should either turn off or use a strong password to secure remote services such as Microsoft’s Remote Desktop Connection or secure shell (SSH) access.

Cryptocurrency mining can be a legitimate source of revenue – but not when done secretly or by hijacking others’ computers to do the work and having them pay the resulting financial costs.

The Conversation

The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.


Source: Science-Technology