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US presidency gains more power with Trump’s acquittal

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US President Donald Trump. (Photo: Screengrab from YouTube)

by Paul HANDLEY

President Donald Trump’s impeachment acquittal has delivered the White House a fresh coat of power, sparking worries over the rise of an “imperial presidency.”

His victory in the Senate trial on Wednesday accelerated a decades-long shift in the US government in which Congress has steadily ceded authority to the Oval Office.

The presidency hit a low in the 1970s, after Congress wrested authority away following Richard Nixon’s Watergate abuses.

Since then, each successive US leader has sought to further dominate the legislature.

Trump, though, has sparked anxiety: he flaunts his power, and has an attorney general who favors a strong presidency and a Republican Party unwilling to restrain him.

One of his impeachment lawyers claimed Trump is free to do whatever he wants — even cheat in elections — if he believes it is in the national interest.

Trump himself says, citing the US Constitution: “I have the right to do whatever I want as president.”

– Monarchic power? –
“It is now arguable… that Donald Trump may well have become the most powerful president in American history,” historian Jon Meacham said after Trump’s trial closed.

“President Trump is functionally a monarch at this point. If the king does it, it’s okay.”

After suffering under the British king, the architects of the US system of government crafted a constitution in 1789 that gave the legislature strong checks on the powers of the new nation’s chief executive.

Lawmakers held the upper hand mostly through the early 20th century, until, faced by existential emergencies — the Great Depression and then World war II — president Franklin Roosevelt rode roughshod over Congress to take action.

Since then, “we have seen a steady increase over time in the independent powers of the presidency,” said Mark Rozell, dean of the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University.

“Presidents are encouraged, I think, to grab as much power and make as much of a difference during their one or two terms as they can.”

“This is not just a Republican thing. It’s presidents of both parties,” said Rozell.

– 9/11 attacks –
Executive power got a considerable boost with the September 11, 2001 terror attacks.

Republican George W. Bush went far beyond his statutory authorities to order actions like secret surveillance of Americans and abduction and torture of foreign fighters, claiming he had the right to do so to protect the country.

Congress did require him to obtain approval to make war on Al-Qaeda and Iraq. But they gave him broad authority, allowing the “War on Terror” to extend to Syria, Yemen and Africa under Bush and his successors.

Nearly two decades later, Congress worries that Trump could use the same powers to go to war with Iran. But the lawmakers are too at odds to do anything about it.

– ‘So sue me’ –

Barack Obama entered the White House in 2009 pledging not to abuse his powers like Bush and to respect Congress’s equal authority.

But within a couple years, faced by Congressional Republicans determined to stymie anything Obama wanted, he declared his “We Can’t Wait” initiative and began leading by executive order.

Obama used his executive powers for environmental rules, protection for undocumented immigrants, gun control and a higher minimum wage.

Having criticized Bush for abusing his war powers, Obama personally signed off on scores of secret drone attacks on terror targets, until even he admitted that there was need for a formal review process.

He created a number of administrative bodies led by powerful “czars” that could institute regulations without going through Congress, and made top-level appointments when Congress was in recess to avoid a contentious approval process.

When in 2014 the Republican House leader threatened a court challenge, Obama quipped: “So sue me.”

– ‘Power grabs’ –
Trump branded Obama’s use of executive orders as “power grabs.” But he now taps that authority far more brashly.

He skips Congress to appoint senior officials by designating them “acting”; he declared a “national emergency” to divert billions of dollars of Pentagon money to build a border wall; and he cited national security to effectively ban Muslims from entering the country.

He has lost numerous court challenges but has also prevailed — most notably in defying subpoenas from Congress during his impeachment. Experts say that success shows the legislature forfeiting one of its key powers to check the executive.

If Trump’s claims of near-unlimited authority go unaddressed, it “will permanently and dangerously alter the balance of power” in the government, said Democrat Adam Schiff, who led the impeachment probe.

– Wait for elections –
Others say Trump merely uses his powers more cockily, and that impeachment drew a line for the imperial presidency.

New York University law professor Richard Pildes says who wins the November 2020 election — Trump and his Republicans or the Democrats — will be indicative.

“How these events become absorbed politically in the next election will significantly shape what future presidents and members of Congress come to think about the exercise of their powers,” Pildes said.

pmh/to

© Agence France-Presse

/AFP

Scientists race to develop vaccine for new coronavirus

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FB Screengrab/ coronavirus

by Catherine Lai

Scientists from the United States to Australia are using new technology in an ambitious, multi-million-dollar drive to develop a vaccine in record time to tackle China’s coronavirus outbreak.

The new virus has spread rapidly since emerging late last year in China, killing more than 800 people in the mainland and infecting over 37,000. Cases have been reported in two dozen other countries.

Coming up with any vaccine typically takes years, and involves a lengthy process of testing on animals, clinical trials on humans and regulatory approvals.

But several teams of experts are racing to develop one quicker, backed by an international coalition that aims to combat emerging diseases, and Australian scientists hope their’s could be ready in six months.

“It is a high-pressure situation and there is a lot of weight on us,” said senior researcher Keith Chappell, part of the group from Australia’s University of Queensland.

But the scientist added he took “some solace” knowing several teams around the world were engaged in the same mission.

“The hope is that one of these will be successful and can contain this outbreak,” he said.

But even a timeframe of six months looks agonisingly slow with the virus, believed to have emerged from a market selling wild animals, killing close to 100 people every day in mainland China.

Efforts are being led by the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI), a body established in 2017 to finance costly biotechnology research in the wake of an Ebola outbreak in West Africa that killed more than 11,000 people.

With a mission to speed up the development of vaccines, CEPI is pouring millions of dollars into four projects around the world and has put out a call for more proposals.

– Attack the virus –
The projects hope to use new technology to develop vaccines that can be tested in the near future.

The body’s CEO, Richard Hatchett, said the aim was to start clinical testing in just 16 weeks.

German biopharmaceutical company CureVac and US-based Moderna Therapeutics are developing vaccines based on “messenger RNA” — instructions that tell the body to produce proteins — while Inovio, another American firm, is using DNA-based technology.

DNA- and RNA-based vaccines use the genetic coding of the virus to trick the body’s cells into producing proteins identical to those on the surface of the pathogen, explained Ooi Eng Eong, deputy director of the emerging infectious diseases programme at the Duke-NUS Medical School in Singapore.

The immune system learns to recognise the proteins so that it is ready to find and attack the virus when it enters the body.

The Australian researchers are using “molecular clamp” technology invented by the university’s scientists that allows them to rapidly develop new vaccines based solely on a virus DNA sequence.

French scientists at the Pasteur Institute are modifying the measles vaccine to work against the coronavirus, but do not expect it to be ready for about 20 months.

Meanwhile, the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention has also started developing vaccines, according to the state-run Xinhua news agency.

– Risks versus benefits –
Health authorities weigh the risks and benefits in vaccine approvals and if there is a public health emergency, the process could be shortened, said Ooi of the Duke-NUS Medical School.

But he added that “paradoxically, if the situation improves, then actually the pathway for vaccines would be longer”.

“If there’s a lot of these new coronavirus cases around, then you accept some risk, because of the tremendous amount of benefit you can derive, whereas if there are not many cases, the tolerance for risk would be very low.”

While there is no vaccine for the coronavirus, some doctors are trying out a potent brew of anti-retroviral and flu drugs to treat those infected, but the science is inconclusive as to whether they are effective.

Ultimately, scientists may end up in the same situation they were during the 2002-2003 outbreak of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) — it died out before a vaccine could be fully developed.

A close cousin of the new coronavirus, SARS spread around the world and killed nearly 800.

But Ong Siew Hwa, the director of Acumen Research Laboratories, a biotech company in Singapore, said efforts to develop a vaccine for the new virus should continue even if the outbreak ends.

“I think a vaccine will definitely be important,” she said. “If it’s not in time for this round, it is important for the next time.”

cla/sr/jah/qan

© Agence France-Presse

/AFP

Thai mall gunman shot dead after deadly rampage

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A video grab created on February 9, 2020 from a handout video released by the MCOT Thai Public Company Limited on February 8, 2020 shows CCTV footage of Thai soldier Jakrapanth Thomma holding a gun as he walks through the Terminal 21 shopping mall in Nakhon Ratchasima. - A Thai soldier who killed at least 20 people and holed up in a mall overnight was shot dead by commandos on February 9, ending a near-17-hour ordeal which left dozens wounded and stunned the country. (Photo by MCOT / MCOT Public Company Limited / AFP) / -----EDITORS NOTE --- RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY CREDIT "AFP PHOTO / KMCOT Thai Public Company Limited " - NO MARKETING - NO ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS - DISTRIBUTED AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS

by Thanaporn PROMYAMYAI / Dene CHEN

A Thai soldier who killed at least 20 people and holed up in a mall overnight was shot dead by commandos on Sunday, ending a near-17-hour ordeal which left dozens wounded and stunned the country.

It was unclear how many people remained trapped inside the Terminal 21 mall in Nakhon Ratchasima — also known as Korat — as the gunman held out through the night, armed with assault weapons stolen from his barracks.

Volleys of gunfire rang out as the siege ran into dawn, hours after Thai security services stormed the ground floor and freed scores of stunned, terrified shoppers from a bloody rampage that the gunman — a junior army officer identified as Sergeant-Major Jakrapanth Thomma — had relayed via Facebook posts.

Commandos from elite Thai police units killed the gunman, officials said, after an operation involving hundreds of security personnel.

Purported video from the scene shared on social media showed snipers in webbing on elevated walkways, aiming their rifles downwards as heavy gunfire echoed across a concourse below.

“The official death toll is 20 and wounded 42… nine are in surgery,” Narinrat Pitchayakamin, a Korat doctor told reporters, revising down an initial death toll of 21.

But it was unclear if there were more victims inside the multi-level complex which was packed with Saturday shoppers when the gunman stormed in.

A fleet of ambulances left the front of the complex and forensic police poured into the grim crime scene, shortly before the gunman’s death was confirmed.

The night was peppered with heavy exchanges of gunfire and desperate escape bids by frightened shoppers who had sent cascades of messages to friends and family on social media from cupboards, toilets and under tables as the gunman stalked the mall.

A police officer who took part in a raid to flush out the gunman was killed in clashes with the rogue solider, according to deputy prime minister Anutin Charnvirakul.

“He was hit and unfortunately, he couldn’t make it,” said Anutin.

Shocked evacuees recounted how an ordinary Saturday shopping day at the busy mall descended into horror as the gunman entered.

“It was like a dream… I’m grateful I survived,” Sottiyanee Unchalee, 48, told AFP, explaining she hid in the toilet of a gym inside the mall as she heard the gunfire.

“I’m so sorry for those who died… (and) the people still trapped inside.”

– Stolen weapons –
Jakrapanth relayed his shooting spree through Facebook posts which charted the attack from an army barracks to the city mall. But his motive remained unclear.

A volunteer rescue worker recounted a bloody scene of horror after his team carried four corpses to the hospital.

“I’ve never seen anything like this,” Peerapong Chatadee told AFP.

“I just feel so sad. He is a soldier, he should not have fired at unarmed people.”

The bloodshed began Saturday afternoon when Jakrapanth shot three people — among them at least one soldier — at a senior officer’s house and then at the nearby army barracks, before driving an army vehicle to the town centre.

There the gunman used weapons stolen from the military arsenal to unleash carnage in the town centre.

He “used a machine gun and shot innocent victims resulting in many injured and dead”, said police spokesman Krissana Pattanacharoen.

Throughout the day, Jakrapanth posted images of himself and wrote several posts on his Facebook page as the attack unfolded.

In one Facebook video — since deleted — the assailant, wearing an army helmet, filmed from an open-top jeep, saying, “I’m tired… I can’t pull my finger anymore” as he made a trigger symbol with his hand.

There were also photos of a man in a ski mask holding up a pistol.

A Facebook spokesperson said: “We have removed the gunman’s accounts from our services and will work around the clock to remove any violating content related to this attack as soon as we become aware of it.”

The city is home to one of the largest barracks in Thailand, a country where the military is enmeshed in politics and society.

The nation also has one of the highest rates of gun ownership in the world, and several shootings at courthouses last year renewed concern about gun violence.

bur-apj-dhc/qan

© Agence France-Presse

/AFP

Malaysian Hindus defy virus fears to mark festival

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This picture taken on February 7, 2020 shows Hindu devotees carrying milk pots on their heads as offerings as they make their way toward the Batu Caves temple during the Thaipusam festival in Batu Caves on the outskirts of Kuala Lumpur. - The Hindu festival of Thaipusam, which commemorates the day when Goddess Pavarthi gave her son Lord Muruga an invincible lance with which he destroyed evil demons, is celebrated by some two million ethnic Indians in Malaysia and Singapore. (Photo by Mohd RASFAN / AFP)

Hindus gathered in temples across Malaysia on Saturday to celebrate the annual Thaipusam festival, with many piercing their bodies with hooks and skewers, despite concerns about the deadly coronavirus outbreak.

Massive crowds descended on the Batu Caves temple complex on the outskirts of capital Kuala Lumpur to participate in the event, where Hindus showcase their devotion to the deity Lord Murugan.

Worshippers walked barefoot up 272 steps to reach the temple — an important religious site for Tamil Hindus — armed with gifts including milk pots which are eventually smashed as offerings.

Many displayed their fervour by carrying heavy ornate metal structures called “kavadis”, affixed to their bodies with sharp metal spikes that are hammered into the skin.

Some devotees appeared to be in a state of trance as they carried the kavadis, which can weigh as much as 100 kilogrammes (220 pounds).

Others pierced their faces with tridents or hung multiple hooks and chains from their bodies in an act of penance.

The crowd at the Batu Caves looked as big as in previous years despite worries about the new virus, and only a handful were wearing protective masks.

The pathogen has killed hundreds and infected tens of thousands in China and is spreading around the world. Malaysia has so far reported 16 cases, mostly in visiting Chinese nationals.

“We are quite worried about the Wuhan virus,” conceded devotee Navindran Arumugam, referring to the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak.

But he added he was not too concerned about picking up the illness at such a “holy place”.

Prior to Thaipusam, devotees will typically hold daily prayer sessions, abstain from sex and stick to a strict vegetarian diet for weeks.

Most of Malaysia’s roughly 32 million people are Muslim, but the country also has around two million ethnic Indians.

Most are descendants of labourers brought from ethnic Tamil areas of southern India by Malaysia’s former British colonial masters.

Lord Murugan is particularly revered in southern India and among ethnic Tamil communities in Southeast Asia.

str-sr/ind

© Agence France-Presse

/AFP

China virus deaths rise past 800, overtaking SARS toll

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by Helen ROXBURGH

The death toll from the novel coronavirus surged past 800 in mainland China on Sunday, overtaking global fatalities in the 2002-03 SARS epidemic, even as the World Health Organization said the outbreak appeared to be “stabilising”.

With 89 more people dying — most in Hubei, the province at the centre of the outbreak — the toll is now higher than the 774 killed worldwide by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome nearly two decades ago, according to figures from national health authorities.

The latest data came after the WHO said the last four days had seen “some stabilising” in Hubei but warned it was “very early to make any predictions” and the figures can still “shoot up”.

Almost 37,200 people in China have now been infected by the new coronavirus, believed to have emerged late last year in a market that sold wild animals in Hubei’s capital Wuhan, before spreading across the nation and to other countries.

The epidemic has prompted the government to lock down whole cities as anger mounts over its handling of the crisis, especially after a whistleblowing doctor fell victim to the virus.

With much of the country still not back at work after an extended Lunar New Year holiday, cities including Shanghai have ordered residents to wear masks in public, and many regions far from Hubei are allowing only one person per household to go out every two days to buy supplies.

Michael Ryan, head of the WHO’s Health Emergencies Programme, said the “stable period” of the outbreak “may reflect the impact of the control measures that have been put in place”.

The first foreign victim in China was confirmed this week when a 60-year-old American diagnosed with the virus died on Thursday in Wuhan, according to the US embassy.

A Japanese man in his 60s with a suspected coronavirus infection also died in a hospital in the city.

The only fatalities outside the mainland have been a Chinese man in the Philippines and a 39-year-old man in Hong Kong.

– Spectre of SARS –
The new virus is from the same family of coronaviruses as SARS although the mortality rate is lower.

According to official figures, around 2,650 people have been cured and discharged around the country — 600 more of them on Saturday.

China drew international condemnation for covering up cases in the SARS outbreak whereas the measures it has taken this time have been praised by the WHO.

But anger over Beijing’s approach erupted on social media this week after the death of a Wuhan doctor who police silenced when he raised the alarm about the threat of an emerging virus like SARS in December.

Li Wenliang was working as an ophthalmologist in Wuhan when he observed patients with symptoms similar to those of the deadly SARS pathogen.

The doctor, 34, died early Friday, Wuhan Central Hospital said in a post on China’s Twitter-like Weibo platform, after contracting the virus while treating a patient.

The government responded by sending its anti-graft body to launch an investigation.

– Panic-buying –
In Hong Kong, China’s semi-autonomous southern financial hub where 299 people were killed by SARS, authorities on Saturday imposed a quarantine on people travelling from the mainland.

The city, with 26 confirmed cases, has been hit by a wave of panic-buying.

Similar scenes played out in Singapore as shoppers cleared grocery store shelves after the city-state, which has 33 confirmed cases, raised its alert level over the virus.

WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus warned against misinformation, saying it made the work of healthcare staff harder.

“We’re not just battling the virus, we’re also battling the trolls and conspiracy theorists that push misinformation and undermine the outbreak response,” he said.

Hungarian police said Saturday they had busted a network of “fake news” websites that reported alleged coronavirus-related deaths in the country, which is so far free of cases.

Fearing the virus could cause an economic slowdown in China — the world’s leading oil importer and consumer — a committee appointed by the OPEC club of petroleum-producing countries has recommended cuts in oil output.

– Global fears –
Governments have hardened their defences, with several countries banning arrivals from China while major airlines suspended flights.

New cases have emerged abroad, with five British nationals, including a child, testing positive after staying at the same ski chalet in France.

Asian cruise ships have also become a focal point.

Sixty-four people on board the Diamond Princess off Japan’s coast have tested positive and the ship’s passengers have been asked to stay inside their cabins to prevent new infections.

burs-rox/axn

© Agence France-Presse

/AFP

PM Lee: No need to panic and stock up on food, there are enough supplies

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Photo: FB screengrab/ Lee Hsien Loong

Singapore – Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong has urged Singaporeans to work together to see through the stressful novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) situation in the country. And there is no need to panic and stock up on food because there are enough supplies.

Mr Lee said this in an official video statement from his office on Saturday (Feb 8) to give the assurance that, two weeks into the outbreak, the Government, and many Singaporeans, were doing their best to contain the virus and keep the country safe.

The Prime Minister discussed Singapore’s current status in the outbreak, the need to shift approach should the virus become widespread, and the role of Singaporeans amidst the outbreak.

Mr Lee noted that the country was better prepared to deal with the new virus, after overcoming Sars 17 years ago.

“Practically, we have stockpiled adequate supplies of masks and Personal Protective Equipment (PPEs). We have expanded and upgraded our medical facilities, including the new National Centre for Infectious Diseases (NCID),” he said. “We are psychologically better prepared, too. Singaporeans know what to expect and how to react.”

Mr Lee highlighted two differences between Sars and the new coronavirus: One, that the latter is more infectious than Sars and, two, that the latter is much less dangerous than Sars. While Sars had an estimated 10 per cent mortality rate, the new virus (outside Hubei province) has a mortality rate of 0.2 per cent, similar to seasonal influenza’s rate of 0.1 per cent.

“But the situation is still evolving. Every day brings new developments, and we have to respond promptly and dynamically,” he added.

Strict measures were being implemented in contact tracing imported cases of the new virus. Once discovered, the patients are isolated and quarantined, including their close contacts, to help stop the spread of the virus.

The Prime Minister also explained the need to raise the DORSCON alert level to Orange, due to some cases which could not be traced to the source of infection. “This worried us because it showed that the virus is probably already circulating in our own population.”

As added measures, “we are reducing mingling in schools. We are tightening up access to our hospitals, and we are taking extra precautions at large public events”, he said. “I have already postponed my Chinese New Year Istana Garden Party for grassroots leaders, which was to be held tomorrow.”

Mr Lee recounted that the DORSCON alert level was raised to Orange in the past during the H1N1 swine flu, “so there is no reason to panic, we are not locking down the city or confining everybody to stay at home”.

“We have ample supplies. There is no need to stock up with instant noodles or tinned food or toilet paper, as some people did yesterday,” he added.

Each person could do his part to contain the spread of the virus, such as observing personal hygiene, taking one’s temperature twice a day and immediately seeking a doctor when unwell. “These simple steps do not take much effort, but if we all do them, they will go a long way towards containing the spread of the virus,” he said.

Shifting the approach
The Prime Minister added that a change of strategy would be adopted if the number of cases keeps growing. “If the virus is widespread, it is futile to try to trace every contact. If we still hospitalise and isolate every suspect case, our hospitals will be overwhelmed. At that point, provided the fatality rate stays low like flu, we should shift our approach.”

For example, those who only have mild symptoms would be encouraged to see their family doctor and rest at home instead of going to the hospital to allow for health workers to focus on the most vulnerable patients like the elderly, young children and those with medical complications.

The Prime Minister noted that the situation was not at that point yet but added that the Government was “thinking ahead and anticipating the next few steps”.

Mr Lee said he was confident that most Singaporeans should remain well and that, of those who get sick, most were expected to recover.

The real test
“But the real test is to our social cohesion and psychological resilience,” said the Prime Minister, who stressed the importance of staying calm at this time. Circulating rumours online, hoarding facemasks or food, or blaming particular groups for the outbreak would only make matters worse.

“Instead, we should take courage and see through this stressful time together.” He mentioned that grassroots leaders, volunteers, university students, healthcare workers, unions, business federations and many more were working to address the outbreak and keep Singapore running. /TISG

Watch the full statement below:

PM Lee Hsien Loong on the 2019-nCoV situation in Singapore

We have faced the novel coronavirus situation for about two weeks now. People are understandably anxious and fearful. But fear can end up doing more harm than the virus itself! It can lead to irrational panic, causing us to hoard facemasks or food. Singapore has ample supplies — already, supermarkets across Singapore have restocked. There is no need to stock up on instant noodles or toilet paper, as was widely seen on social media yesterday.Instead, let us stay united and resolute in this outbreak. Keep helping one another, as many of you have stepped up to do. And most importantly, stay calm and carry on with our lives. – LHL#SGUnited(Video by Mediacorp)

Posted by Lee Hsien Loong on Saturday, February 8, 2020

Read related:

DORSCON Orange effect: supermarket shelves cleared out of food and other essentials

Novel coronavirus: Will the returning 30,000 Chinese workers become collateral damage in Singaporeans’ disenchantment with the government’s pro-foreigners policies?

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Photo: for illustration purposes only (Photo by NOEL CELIS / AFP)

As Singapore enters Orange Alert (perhaps even Red, if the situation worsens), our hearts must go to the people of Wuhan, the humanity at Novel Coronavirus Ground Zero in Hubei province, central China.  In particular, all hats off to the doctors and nurses trying to cope with and contain the virus outbreak which has not yet peaked and may get worse.

For special mention and perhaps nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize this year:  Dr Li Wenliang, the hero and fast becoming an icon, who had just died after contracting the virus while treating patients in Wuhan. He was the whistle blower who tried in a closed WeChat group last December to warn the local authorities about the virus but was told by the police to “stop making false comments” and was investigated for “spreading rumours”. His death sparked an avalanche of public anger and grief in China. The 34-year-old ophthalmologist became infected himself. Nothing Li said was incorrect, but it came as officials in the city were initially downplaying the seriousness of the outbreak and its danger to the public.

By Friday (Feb 8) morning, the South China Morning Post reported, hashtags  “Dr Li Wenliang has passed away” had 670 million views, “Li Wenliang has passed away” had 230 million views and “I want freedom of speech” had 2.86 million views on Weibo. They were, however, quickly removed by the shaken authorities.

All power to the whistle blowers and to the Chinese social media which carried the justified backlash at the authorities in a media-controlled society (much like Singapore) by a regime which dislikes dissent or bad news (again, much like a government we are all very familiar with).

The images from Wuhan are disturbing and sad. At the end of January, an AFP picture of a dead elderly man’s body lying in an empty street went around the world. The street would have been typically crowded in this usually bustling city of 11 million but now under a lockdown. More such pictures would probably emerge in the weeks to come, that is, if they are not already all over every social media platform.

It is, however, at the besieged hospitals that the real medical frontline stories are the most heart-breaking.

Here’s a quote from Dr Peng Zhiyong, director of acute medicine at the Wuhan University South Central Hospital, who was interviewed by Caixin Global: “I often cried because so many patients could not be admitted to the hospital. They wailed in front of the hospital. Some patients even knelt down to beg me to accept him into the hospital. But there was nothing I could do since all beds were occupied. I shed tears while I turned them down. I ran out of tears now. I have no other thoughts but to try my best to save more lives.

“The most regretful thing to me was a pregnant woman from Huanggang. She was in very serious condition. Nearly 200,000 yuan (about $28,700) were spent after more than a week in the ICU. She was from the countryside, and the money for hospitalisation was borrowed from her relatives and friends. Her condition was improving and she was likely to survive. But her husband decided to give up. He cried for his decision. I wept too because I felt there was hope for her to be saved. The woman died after we gave up. And exactly the next day, the (Chinese) government announced a new policy that offers free treatment for all coronavirus-infected patients. I feel so sorry for that pregnant woman”.

And there is this opening paragraph of Time magazine’s latest cover story (“China’s Test”):

“It took eight hours for a doctor to see Wu Chen’s mother after she arrived at the hospital. Eight days later, she was dead. The doctor was ‘99% sure’ she had contracted 2009-nCoV, Wu says, but he didn’t have the testing kit to prove it. And despite the 64-year-old’s fever and perilously low oxygen levels, there was no bed for her. Wu tried two more hospitals over the next week, but all were overrun. By Jan 25, her mother was slumped on the tile floor of an emergency room, gasping for air, drifting in and out of consciousness. ‘We didn’t want to see my mom die on the floor, so we took her home,’ says Wu, 30. ‘She passed the next day.’”

Jude Blanchett, a China analyst at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, was quoted as criticising the Chinese government’s system of top-down control: “Nobody acted until they got word from the top, and then everyone wildly overreacted in order to satisfy the leader…The full Chinese Communist Party apparatus didn’t kick into gear to address the coronavirus until Xi Jinping had weighed in on the matter. Notably, the President himself has kept a low profile since the outbreak began and was not seen in public for eight days after the Lunar New Year.”

Now, throughout China, Time said, fear is mixing with inchoate rage. “In Hubei province, people from Wuhan are ostracised. But in other provinces, people from anywhere in Hubei are shunned. Videos circulating on social media show vigilantes tooling up to protect their villages. In one video, a man in a dark jacket and wide-brimmed hat guards a bridge with a pistol. In another, a man in an orange puffer jacket sits on a table at the entrance to his village, brandishing an enormous sword. All have signs nearby with a common theme: outsiders cannot pass.”

Singapore, if and when orange turns into red, may face its first real test of nationhood. No amount of pseudo-Bicentennialism celebration can substitute for the coming challenge of community trust.  Already some signs of panic buying and irresponsible behaviour have been showing. Medical swipes, thermometers and surgical masks are being hoarded amid a stream of fake news and mischievous online postings.

And there is this huge group of 30,000 work-pass holders from China due to come back to Singapore after the New Year break.  They will be put on the mandatory 14 days leave of absence first. Do we sympathise with them as we would the people of Wuhan? Or shun them as collateral damage in Singaporeans’ overall  disenchantment with the PAP government’s pro-foreigner policies?

Tan Bah Bah, consulting editor of The Independent.Sg, is a former senior leader writer with The StraitsTimes. He was also managing editor of a local magazine publishing company.

Morning brief: Wuhan coronavirus update for Feb 9, 2020

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The latest updates on the Wuhan coronavirus. Infographic: The Independent SG (*The total death count now stands at 815)

As of 5am, Feb 9, 2020:

WORLD COUNT: There are 34,974 confirmed cases of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in the world. A total of 28 countries and territories have been affected so far. The number of deaths has risen to 724. Across the world, a total of 6,106 are in critical condition, while 2,410 previously infected persons have recovered.

CHINA: There are 34,620 confirmed cases of infection in China. The country’s death count now stands at 722 people. The Chinese government has announced that harsh punishments await any persons who disrupt or get in the way of epidemic work—and in severe cases, even the death penalty will not be off the table. A statement released to the public outline seven medical-related crimes, which included injuring medical personnel, tearing off their protective gear and refusing to be screened or quarantined. China has speedily built two new hospitals, one in ten days and the next one in 12. Huoshenshan Hospital can accommodate 1,000 beds and Leishenshan Hospital has space for 1,500. Patients will reportedly be zoned, or grouped, into the different levels of risk they pose. A lawyer turned citizen journalist reporting from Wuhan, the epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak, has been forcibly quarantined, according to his friends and relatives. Chen Qiushi had been posting videos revealing his take on the city’s conditions and the government’s response to the virus until he disappeared at the end of January. His mother confirmed his disappearance on Friday (Feb 7) and a friend of his said that the Qingdao public security contacted Qiushi’s parents to inform them that their son was detained under quarantine. Medical professionals in China have been making many personal sacrifices in the fight against the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), from cutting and shaving their own hair to make way for the protective gear and wearing adult diapers to barely sleeping. Their extreme dedication to the cause and to the well-being of others is incredibly heroic. Hong Kong announced two new cases of the virus, increasing the country’s total to 26. On Saturday (Feb 8), authorities began to impose a two-week quarantine period on all travellers arriving from mainland China. So far, 161 people have been placed under quarantineMacao has not reported any new cases of the virus, with the country’s total at 10.

SINGAPORE: The Ministry of Health (MOH) has announced 10 new cases of the coronavirus, bringing the total country count to 40. For information on all the confirmed cases, click here. Nine of the confirmed cases – 19, 20, 21, 24, 25, 27, 28, 34 and 40 – are linked to a group associated with a medical products shop called Yong Thai Hang at 24 Cavan Road. Three of the cases – 30, 36 and 39 – are connected to a private business meeting at Grand Hyatt Singapore. A possible group of five cases – 8, 9, 31, 33 and 38 – are linked to The Life Church and Missions Singapore at Paya Lebar. The country has declared that the outbreak is on Disease Outbreak Response System Condition (DORSCON) level orange.

ASEAN: Thailand reported seven new confirmed cases of the virus and has a total of 32 cases in the country. Malaysia confirmed two new cases of infection, bringing the countrywide tally to 16. Vietnam confirmed one new case of the virus and currently has a total of 13 cases. No other countries in the region have declared new cases of the coronavirus.

ASIA: Taiwan confirmed its 17th case of the coronavirus and South Korea reported its 24th confirmed case on Saturday (Feb 8). Japan reported 44 new cases of the coronavirus, bringing the country’s total to 86 confirmed cases. A Japanese national suspected of contracting the coronavirus died of pneumonia in a Wuhan hospital. It still has not been confirmed whether the cause of death was the virus. The United Arab Emirates confirmed two new coronavirus cases inside the country.

EUROPE: The World Health Organization (WHO) announced that it is sending an international team to investigate the coronavirus outbreak in China. It urged the public to be aware of false information being pushed on the media and social networks. The WHO is not only fighting to contain the coronavirus, it is also “battling the trolls and conspiracy theorists that push misinformation and undermine the outbreak response,” the organization said Saturday (Feb 8). France confirmed five new cases of the coronavirus, raising the country’s total to 11. All five new cases, one of whom is a child, are British nationals. Germany announced one new case of the virus, bringing the country’s total to 14. No other countries in the region have declared new cases of the coronavirus.

AMERICA: United States citizen has died from the coronavirus in Wuhan, China. They were the first foreign national to die from the virus. In the US, there are 12 confirmed cases of the coronavirus. Around 800 Americans, including US citizens, immediate family members and permanent legal residents, were repatriated from Wuhan and landed back in the US on Friday (Feb 7). Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said that despite the US being “ready, willing and able” to go to China and help in the fight against the coronavirus, China has not yet invited the US’ help. The US said it would respect China’s decision-making process. Canada’s confirmed case count is at 7 cases. About 213 people, including Canadian citizens and their families, were evacuated from Wuhan and returned safely to Canada. All are being quarantined for 14 days.

AUSTRALIA: Australia, which currently has 15 confirmed cases of the virus, did not report any new cases, and New Zealand still has no cases of the virus in the country.

AFRICA: As of yet, no confirmed cases of the Wuhan coronavirus have been reported in the region.

 

/TISG

Ho Ching: We should try to prioritise mask stockpile for hospital workers

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Photo: FB screengrab/ Ho Ching

Singapore — With countries experiencing a shortage of surgical face marks due to the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) that originated in Wuhan, China, many are boosting their efforts to ensure adequate supplies when they are needed or sharing useful information on them.

Facebook power-user and CEO of Temasek Holdings, Ms Ho Ching, shared a post on Friday (Feb 7) about the proper use of face masks and the need to prioritise stocks for frontline health workers.

“There is a global shortage of surgical masks, as well as a shortage of materials to make surgical masks,” she pointed out.

Ms Ho, who is the wife of Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, mentioned a few facts about face mask production. China manufactures half of the world’s output of surgical masks but the “workers had gone home for their lunar new year holiday, and many are not back yet as the Wuhan outbreak has led to restrictions in travel across parts of China”.

With China unable to meet supply levels of face masks amidst an increased demand, the effect would be countries controlling or banning the export of their surgical masks and other medical supplies, as is happening in Taiwan, Vietnam and Thailand.

“In Singapore, while we have stockpile, these are not likely to be enough if the Wuhan nCoV continues to spread to thousands more and over many months,” said Ms Ho.
She suggested for people to try and prioritise mask stockpile for hospital workers and those who are at the frontline of the fight against the virus.

“Hospital workers face all sorts of patients at work through their entire workday, over every workday,” said Ms Ho. “What we don’t see is that they maintain a high standard of hand hygiene and personal hygiene as the #1 precaution.”

Ms Ho admitted that the new coronavirus had been “scary at first” because it was still unclear if the epidemic was anything like Sars or Ebola.

“But is beginning to look like another flu-like virus,” she concluded. “Infectious, but not so lethal except for old or frail folks with other underlying medical conditions.”

Ms Ho urged the general public to put on face masks only when feeling unwell to prevent the spread of germs and other pathogens.

Some people wrote in the comments section of the post and Ms Ho responded to them.

One netizen, Mr Matthew Abrahan Soh, wrote: “I suggest we convert some factories in SG to manufacture masks. Made in SG.” Others agreed with the comment and added that the current outbreak had “reminded us that we cannot rely on imports solely”.

Photo: FB screengrab/ Ho Ching
Photo: FB screengrab/ Ho Ching

Another, however, pointed out that the country was “seriously lacking in terms of raw materials” to manufacture surgical masks locally.

Ms Ho shared that she knew of at least one team “running around like crazy” to secure production equipment and filter materials, although it was experiencing shortage issues as well.

Photo: FB screengrab/ Ho Ching

There was also a short discussion on the proper term for the 2019 nCoV.

Photo: FB screengrab/ Ho Ching
Photo: FB screengrab/ Ho Ching

There is a global shortage of surgical masks, as well as a shortage of materials to make surgical masks. China…

Posted by HO Ching on Friday, February 7, 2020

/TISG

Read related:
Ho Ching says in an emergency even alcohol can be used to sanitise hands against virus

Trump’s election trump card: a healthy economy

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After emerging intact from his impeachment and trial, US President Donald Trump can now trumpet his economic record as he battles to win re-election in November.

The businessman-turned-politician inherited an economy in the upswing from his predecessor Barack Obama, recovering from the ravages of the 2008 global financial crisis.

And rather than falter or die of old age, the expansion has continued through Trump’s first three years in office, giving him a trump card in the campaign to win a second term in November.

But there are some chinks in his armor, as well as growing fears about the economic damage done by the coronavirus outbreak in China, which raise doubts about how long the good times can last.

– Jobs gains continue –
“JOBS, JOBS, JOBS!” the president tweeted Friday following a blockbuster employment report showing the US economy created 225,000 jobs last month. He used the hashtag #PromisesMadePromisesKept.

Last year, job growth averaged 175,000, compared to 193,000 in 2018 and 176,000 in 2017, slower than the final three years of the Obama administration

The unemployment rate, now at 3.6 percent, near its lowest point in 50 years, compared to 4.7 percent in December 2016, Obama’s last full month in office.

And joblessness in the Hispanic and black communities has tumbled to historic lows: for African Americans, the unemployment rate fell to 5.9 percent in December from 7.8 percent in December 2016; for Hispanics it dropped to 4.2 percent from 5.9 percent.

Average hourly earnings increased 2.9 percent in 2019, keeping slightly ahead of inflation.

– Record growth –
The economy is now in its 11th year of expansion, a record period of growth, but has fallen short of Trump’s lofty promises.

After reaching 1.5 percent GDP growth in 2016, the last year of Obama’s term, in 2017 it climbed to 2.3 percent and the following year to 2.9 percent, thanks to stimulus from the massive tax cut aimed mostly at corporations and the wealthiest Americans, and increased government spending, particularly on the military.

But growth slowed to 2.3 percent last year after Trump’s trade war with China intensified, which discouraged business investment.

While the US is in better shape than most advanced economies — the eurozone grew only 1.2 percent — it is unlikely to see long periods of 3.0 percent or higher as Trump promised.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said this week the economy could have hit the target last year were it not for the problems faced by Boeing.

The aerospace giant has been in crisis mode since its top-selling 737 MAX aircraft was grounded in March 2019 following two fatal crashes, which shut down exports of the plane.

The IMF predicts US growth will slow even further this year to 2.0 percent as the boost from the tax cut fades away.

– Deficits climbing –
The tax cuts approved by Congress at the end of 2017 — the most significant tax reform in 30 years — helped boost GDP growth but also drove government debt and the deficit higher.

The reform cut income taxes on the richest Americans while slashing the corporate tax rate to 21 percent from 35 percent.

The budget deficit is projected to breach $1 trillion by the end of September, according to the Congressional Budget Office, while government debt is expected to represent 81 percent of US GDP.

Mnuchin said Trump is planning to slash taxes for the middle class as well.

– Trade tensions eased –
Trump has congratulated himself on signing a “momentous” initial trade deal last month to end the long battle with Beijing. But at what cost?

China pledged to buy some $200 billion in US goods, but tariffs on about two-thirds of the goods traded between the economic powers remain in place.

And the conflict slowed US and global growth and sent domestic manufacturing into a recession.

Trump did fulfill his campaign promise to renegotiate the 1994 continental free trade deal with Mexico and Canada, creating the USMCA.

The new pact, also signed in January, replaces what Trump called the worst trade deal in US history, though experts say it amounts to an update rather than an overhaul.

– Booming stock market –
Wall Street has cheered the tax cuts and loosening of regulations by the Trump administration, gaining around 55 percent since he was elected on November 8, 2016.

That will be another selling point to Americans whose retirement wealth depends in large part on stock prices.

Dt/cs/hs/ft

© Agence France-Presse

/AFP