International Business & Economy Global markets rise despite trade war escalation

Global markets rise despite trade war escalation




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by Roland JACKSON

World equities rose Friday as investors bet on Beijing and Washington resolving their trade war, despite news of a doubling in US tariffs on Chinese goods, dealers said.

In a brief respite from trade woes, Uber is set for its Wall Street debut later Friday with a vast share offering that values the ride-hailing giant at more than $82 billion.

US President Donald Trump has pulled the trigger on a steep increase in tariffs on Chinese goods, ramping up punitive duties on $200 billion in imports from 10 to 25 percent in a major escalation of the bitter trade war between the world’s two biggest economies.

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However, Russ Mould, investment director at stockbroker AJ Bell, said markets were adopting a wait-and-see approach — and he suspected that a deal would eventually be clinched.

“Investors hate uncertainty as it leads to speculation about what might and might not happen. Once they have the real facts, investors can properly assess the situation,” Mould told AFP.

“I suspect that markets still believe a deal can and will be done, because both President Xi and President Trump need one,” he added.

The tariffs news failed to derail markets in Asia and Europe, after Trump stated also that he had received a “beautiful letter” from China’s President Xi Jinping — and that it was “possible” to get a deal.

“Xi needs a deal to keep economic growth on the road, because the ongoing credibility and legitimacy of his tenure and the Communist Party more generally rests on jobs and prosperity,” said Mould.

“Trump needs one because he seems to measure his success by where the Dow Jones Industrials is trading and because he has an election to fight in 2020.

“Winning that will be a lot harder if the US economy is slowing down or even turning down,” the analyst added.

In late morning deals, London stocks were up 0.4 percent, as investors welcomed official data showing that the UK economy strengthened with 0.5-percent growth in the first quarter from 0.2 percent in the prior three months.

In the eurozone, Paris stocks gained 0.8 percent and Frankfurt jumped 1.1 percent.

– Shanghai leads -In Asia, Shanghai led gains at the end of a torrid week for equities, with investors nevertheless keeping a eye on ongoing China-US trade talks in Washington.

Both Shanghai and Hong Kong bounced back on hopes the economic superpowers will be able to reach a deal to avert a trade war that most observers warn could shatter global growth and batter markets.

But China has vowed to hit back at the tariffs hike, saying it “deeply” regretted the US move.

The tariffs came in after the first day of high-stakes negotiations in Washington between Chinese Vice Premier Liu He, US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.

The slightly improved sentiment provided support to higher-yielding, riskier currencies, with the yuan edging higher though it continues to wallow around four-month lows.

However, in a worrying sign, Hu Xijin, editor-in-chief of the Global Times — which is published by the Communist Party’s People’s Daily — cited a source familiar with the talks as saying there is “zero” chance of a deal before Friday.

“If it is that bad, the real suspense is whether the two sides will continue negotiations after Friday,” Hu said.

Elsewhere Friday, oil prices edged higher but Oanda analyst Jeffrey Halley warned that failure of the trade talks “would be the straw that breaks the camel’s back” and send the commodity tumbling, despite supply worries stemming from US-Iran tensions and Venezuela’s political crisis.

Later on Friday, San Francisco-based Uber was set to begin trading on the New York Stock Exchange, priced at $45 per share, in one of the largest initial public offerings in the tech sector.

– Key figures around 1030 GMT – London – FTSE 100: UP 0.4 percent at 7,238.10 points

Frankfurt – DAX 30: UP 1.1 percent at 12,105.16

Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.8 percent at 5,353.76

EURO STOXX 50: UP 0.8 percent at 3,376.54

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.3 percent at 21,344.92 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng: UP 0.8 percent at 28,550.24 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: UP 3.1 percent at 2,939.21 (close)

New York – Dow: DOWN 0.5 percent at 25,828.36 (close)

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1227 from $1.1215 at 2100 GMT

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3018 from $1.3014

Dollar/yen: UP at 109.87 yen from 109.74 yen

Oil – Brent Crude: UP 41 cents at $70.80 per barrel

Oil – West Texas Intermediate: UP 34 cents at $62.04


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